Chapter 05 - Public Opinion

What is Public Opinion?
1. Because the government doesn’t do everything that the people want, some people become cynical and say that the government is democratic in name only, but this is not true because the Framers of the Constitution created a government that would achieve certain substantial goals, not simply “do what the people want.”
2. The Framers knew that with a country so large, there could never be a true, unified “public opinion;” instead, there would be factions of opinions.
  1. Also, public polls are taken based on a tiny fraction of the American public; they cannot truly represent what everyone thinks.
  2. People who are more “in the know” about government think about it differently than the rest of the public, who only ponders politics occasionally.
3. Polls should not be trusted to tell universal truths, since many people are ignorant of politics and apathetic about the government.
  1. How a poll words a question can significantly affect the outcome and results.
    1. Altering the order of options or the type of options can produce wide results for the same question!
  2. Opinions can also change in short periods of time, as a person agreeing with a statement in January can disagree with the same one in June.
4. In short, public opinion suffers from ignorance, instability, and sensitivity to the way questions are worded in polls.
  1. Different people give different weight, or importance, to different aspects of politics.
The Origins of Political Attitudes
1. Advertising and media affect the way people think of and view politics, but it does not control the opinions of people, or else democracy would be a joke.
2. Family plays a large part in political views, as many young people seem to be able to identify their parent’s political party and even agree with it.
  1. Even youths who disagree with their parents favor an “independent” party, not an opposition party; however these days, family does not play as large of a role in opinion.
  2. While family preference in party does play a role in shaping a child’s future political inclinations, that role is small, since the parents rarely talk about politics (clearly and explicitly) and issues that affect the children may be different from adult-affect issues.
    1. There are, of course, exceptions to this; some families are politically clear and active.
3. Religion is another key factor in public opinion (e. Catholic families are somewhat more liberal on economic issues than Protestant ones, while Jewish families are much more liberal on both economic and social issues than Catholic OR Protestant families).
  1. The social status of religious groups of America may account for this difference, since when Catholics and Jews came to America, they were often subject to discrimination and poverty, and thus clung to whichever party welcomed them more—the more liberal Democratic Party.
    1. Today, Catholics and Jews are more prosperous, and thus their support has shrunk.
  2. Another theory for why religion plays a part of beliefs emphasizes the content of religious tradition more than the social status of that religion’s members; the religion’s teachings affect the way people think about ideas.
  3. In the early 1990s, the Christian Coalition, founded by Pat Robertson and headed by Ralph Reed, began allying with mainstream politicians, thus becoming a major force in today’s politics, despite the fact that it’s mostly strong in the South, Midwest, and West.
4. Yet another variable in public opinion forming is gender.
  1. In the 1950s, women were more likely to be Republicans than men, and in the next decade, they were more likely to be Democrats; the reason for this shift was due to the parties’ changing of stances on women’s issues.
  2. The gender issue seems to disappear when gender-sensitive policies—war, gun control, or pornography—are not in the spotlight, but when these issues become “hot” again, the gender gap re-emerges as a major factor in political opinion.
5. Schooling and information can affect political thinking; more educated people tend to be more liberal while less educated ones tend to be more conservative.
  1. It seems that the longer students stay in college, the more liberal they become.
  2. This trend could be because college people’s own personalities allow them to be more liberal, but it could also be because exposure to more information can shape their minds.
  3. The level of information on a political topic is the biggest factor in one’s opinions on that topic.
  4. Another view states that colleges teach liberalism, since college professors are more liberal than people in other occupations.
  5. As more and more people attend college, this factor has become more important, but experts largely agree that colleges today are more conservative than colleges of the past; also, how long college affects political thought can depend on a huge variety of reasons.
I Cleavages in Public Opinion
1. The way in which public opinion forms helps explain why there are so many cleavages in political thought, cuts that do not follow any one pattern but instead are complex and complicated.
2. Because America is diverse, it’s virtually impossible to say that a person believes “View A” just because he belongs to a certain gender or race or religion or economic status.
  1. There are general shapes of patterns, but these are very general and not at all helpful for determining detailed views.
    1. Rich Jews and rich Protestants still differ on social welfare, and plumbers and professors, who make the same amount of money, can differ on their views as well.
  2. Class has a small effect in America, but a much larger one in other countries where the population is mostly homogeneous.
3. Social class does separate Americans, as the “blue-collar” working class has different views from the “management” upper class.
  1. In the last few decades, however, class than has influenced less opinions in previous ones.
  2. Voting patterns among different classes have become more similar lately, but once again, if an issue that directly affects a certain class arises, the concept of social class will play a big part in determining the opinions of class members.
    1. Social class differences could be attributed to schooling (at one time, only the rich went to college, while the poor or middle class only needed a high school graduation), or they could be attributed to the fact that, these days, non-economic issues are making people choose which party to support, as opposed to econ. ones.
4. Race and ethnicity, on the other hand, seems to be a clearer source of political cleavage than class.
  1. Whites are more likely than blacks to support the death penalty for murder& increased defense spending but less likely to support national health insurance.
  2. Many modern differences hinge on remedying past discrimination and racism.
  3. However, Blacks and Whites do agree that police should be allowed to search homes of known drug dealers without warrants, that women shouldn’t be able to get abortions simply by demanding them, and that marijuana shouldn’t be legalized.
  4. Blacks have become the most consistently liberal group in the Democratic Party.
  5. There also appears to be less cleavage among [poor and rich] Blacks than among [poor and rich] Whites.
5. Geographical region also widely affects political attitudes.
  1. Southern members of Congress seem to vote more conservatively than Northern ones.
  2. In the past, Southerners agreed with Northerners on issues of economic issues, but issues of race and liberty always seemed to pull them apart.
  3. The Southern lifestyle itself is different from the Northern way of life since the South has been more receptive to business enterprise and less so to organized labor than the Northeast.
  4. The South has been against big government and civil rights, and lately, less Southerners are identifying themselves as Democrats than in the 1950s.
  5. These changes are important, since without the South, no Democrat except Lyndon B. Johnson would have become president of the United States.
Political Ideology
1. The words liberal and conservative are actually vague words and broad generalizations.
2. Political Ideology is a coherent and consistent set of beliefs about who ought to rule, what principles rulers ought to obey, and what policies rulers ought to pursue.
3. Political scientists can measure how much political ideology people have by [1]seeing how often they call themselves a broad term (e. “liberal,” “conservative,” “moderate”) or by [2] trying to predict a person’s view on a subject at one time or another based on his/her views on that subject previously.
  1. The more accurate the prediction, the more that person is likely to have an ideology, or “constraint,” according to these scientists.
  2. Obviously, most Americans don’t refer to themselves as “conservative” or “liberal,” except when asked in a poll, so the second one seems to work better.
4. Of course, polls and surveys cannot be trusted 100% because people are apt to change their minds often, but in terms of ideology, many Americans do share similar views, such as the desire for freedom and justice and the yearning for equality (economic and social).
  1. Still, scholars regularly see that people have “inconsistent,” or conflicting, opinions on matters.
5. While “liberalism” and “conservatism” are not consistent views, it doesn’t mean that they’re useless terms; they’ve merely evolved since they first came into use.
  1. In the 19th century, a liberal favored a free market and opposed gov’t control of the trade while a conservative abhorred the excesses of the French Revolution’s emphases on personal freedom and favored a restoration of the power of the state, the church, and the aristocracy.
  2. Around the time of the New Deal, these terms began to change, as liberals became favorers of active governments that would intervene in the economy while conservatives were against that.
    1. Now, the conservatives favored a free market instead of the liberals.
  3. Realize that there are different types of liberals and conservatives.
6. Three categories have proven to be useful in seeing what people believe:
  1. The 1st category involves government’s regard to the economy; liberals favor gov’t efforts to ensure that everyone has a job.
  2. The 2nd involves questions on civil rights and race relations; liberals favor strong federal action to desegregate schools and promote better civil rights and more equality.
  3. The 3rd involves public and political conduct; liberals are okay with protests that want to legalize marijuana, want to “decriminalize” so-called victimless crimes, emphasize animal rights, and want to solve to crime by eliminating its causes, not super-punishing offenders.
7. Here are four groups of people who are liberal and/or conservative:
  1. Pure liberals are liberal on economic policy and personal conduct, wanting to tax the rich heavily, allow abortions, and protect the rights of the accused, among others; they were more likely to be young, college-educated, and either Jewish or nonreligious.
  2. Pure conservatives are conservative on both economic and conduct issues, wanting the gov’t to cut back on welfare state, allow the market to allocate goods and services, and keep taxes low; they’re more likely to be older, richer, White, and live in the Midwest.
  3. Libertarians are conservative on both economic issues and more liberal on social affairs, wanting a small, weak gov’t; they are more likely to young, college-educated, White, have higher incomes, and live in the West.
  4. Populists are liberal on economic matters and conservative on social ones, wanting the gov’t to regulate personal conduct, lock up criminals, permit school prayer, and control business; they were more likely to be older, poorly-educated, poorer, religious, female, and live in the South or Midwest.
  5. BTW, this list above is an oversimplification, of course, but it is still useful to explain views.
8. The Political Elite (people having more money, prestige, ability, schooling, etc… than the average Joe) can be classified as liberals or conservatives in a pure sense; they are often referred to as “activists.”
  1. Activists are more likely to display their political views openly and act upon them.
  2. This is due to having more information (which leads to thinking about politics differently), and peers (other people like them can influence them, of course).
9. Some say that there is a “new class” emerging in America, which consists of people who possess certain advantages conferred not by the power, resources, and growth of business, but by the power, resources, and growth of government.
  1. The old classes were the capitalists or the workers.
  2. Higher education tends to make people more liberal (now, at least; this wasn’t always the case), and has split the middle class into the traditional middle class and the “new class” of college students who have gone on to graduate school.
  3. This rift has made it harder to hold together the coalition of workers and liberal middle classmen that once made the Democratic Party so strong.
Political Elites, Public Opinion, and Public Policy
1. The elites influence what issues the public should be involved in (through media and such) and also state the norms, or the standard of right or proper conduct.
  1. They help determine the range acceptable and unacceptable behavior.
    1. The elites used to say racism was wrong; now they say sexism is wrong; they’ve also made public reception to AIDS less fearing and loathing.
2. The elites do NOT define economic problem (the public can see that for itself); they only shape the policy.
3. In foreign affairs, though, they DO define the problem (e. Iraq).
4. There are many elites, just as there are many publics (factions), and it is important to study the differences between the elites and the public; that way, people can see if there’s enough variety of opinion and influence among elites to call American politics “pluralist.”

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