Expected Present Discounted Value
nominal vs real interest rates -
- nominal interest rates (it) - in terms of currency, how interest is naturally expressed
- borrow $M this year, pay $M(1+it) next year
- real interest rates (rt) - in terms of basket of goods
- borrow M basket of goods, pay M(1+rt) basket of goods next year
- 1+rt = (1+it) Pt / Pet+1
- Pt - present cost/price
- Pet+1 = expected price next year
- rt ~ it - pet
- w/o inflation, real interest rate equals nominal interest rate
- inflation usually positive >> real interest less than nominal interest
- higher inflation >> lower real interest rate
expected present discounted value - value today of expected future payments
- expresses future values in terms of present values
- $M next year = $M / (1+it) this year
- $M in 2 years = $M / [(1+it)(1+it+1)] this year
- discount factor - constant multiplied by future value to get present discounted value
- discount rate = it
- $Vt = $zt + $zt+1 / (1+it) + $zt+2 / [(1+it)(1+it+1)] + ...
- future costs/payments usually estimated by expected values
- constant interest rates >> it = it+1 >> discount factors equal to 1/(1+i)n
- constant interest rates and payments
- $Vt = $z (1-[1/(1+i)n]) / (1-[1/(1+i)])
- constant interest rates and payments, continuing forever
- $Vt = $z/i
- 0 interest rates >> present value equal to sum of expected values
Subject:
Economics [1]
Subject X2:
Economics [1]