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Undergraduate Econometrics Flashcards

ISUP - Undergrad econometrics prep.

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1576675683What is the estimated slope of the OLS?0
1576675684What does the ^ in equations mean?The Hat means that this is the PREDICTED values. Hence, not the actual values for the population1
1576675685What is this equations? ûi = Yi-Yhat.iThe error term - Being the deviation from the regression line.2
1576675686What are the 5 Simple linear regression assumption?••Assumption SLR.1 (Linear in parameters) ••Assumption SLR.2 (Random sampling) ••Assumption SLR.3 (Sample variation in explanatory variable) ••Assumption SLR.4 (Zero conditional mean) ••Assumption SLR.5 (Homoskedasticity)3
1576675687What is the total variation and how is it meassured?4
1576675688How do you meassure goodness of fit, and what is the formula?5
1576675689What is the definition and formula for SST?6
1576675690What is the definition and formula for SSE?7
1576675691What is the definition and formula for SSR?8
1576677294If H0: β1 = 0 and β2 = 0, how many restrictions are there?Two9
1576677295Homoskedasticity defn.Variance of error term is constant, Var(Yi I Xi') = Var(Yi I Xi'')10
1576677296Heteroskedasticity defn.Variance of error term is not constant, Var(Yi I Xi') < Var(Yi I Xi'')11
1576677297How does adding additional regressors affect R2?It inflates it, (R2 = 1 - SSR/TSS)...SSR increases. We need the adj. R212
1576677298Pitfalls of R2 and adj. R2 with regards to significance, correlation and causality1. An increase in R2 or adj. R2 does not mean the added variable is statistically significant 2. Correlation does not mean causality 3. A high R2 or adj. R2 does not mean there is not OVB (the reverse is also true) 4. A high R2 or adj. R2 does not mean I13
1576677299How do we know if a regressor is statistically significant?Perform a t-test ( or look at)14
1576677300If R2 is low then we know what about the goodness of fit?Goodness of fit = (SSE/SST); if it is low then there are a lot of extraneous factors effecting Y other than X.15
1576677301What is the regressor ?The X variable16
1576677302What relation do the fitted residuals and the regressor have to satisfy?The values of X must not contain any information about the mean of the residuals: Σ ÛiXi = 017
1576677303What is the equation for the "true" regression model corresponding with the linear empirical model of Y and X?Yi = α + β(Xi) + εi where Xi and Yi need to be specifically defined (say where Xi = age and Yi = earnings)18
1576677304R^2 formula1- SSR/TSS19
1576677305Adj. R^2 formula1 - [(n -1)/(n - k -1)] - SSR/TSS20
1576701555Please list 3 synonyms for the Y-variableThe dependant variable, the explained variable, the response variable, regressant21
1576701556Please list 3 synonyms for the X-variableIndependant variable, explanatory variable, regressor22
1576701557What is the difference between a parameter and a variable?The parameters are the Beta's and the variables are the X's in connection with each beta. Each parameter is the estimated relationship between the independant and dependant variable for the population.23
1576701558Which values can R^2 be?024
1576727579Explain "Exogenous variable" and what it means for MLR 4X is uncorrelated with Ui, meaning that no variation in the variable can be explained by the error terms. MLR.4 holds if all explanatory variables (x's) are exogenous. Exogeneity is the key assumption for a causal interpretation of the regression, and for unbiasedness of the OLS estimators25
1576727580Explain "Endogenous variable" and what it means for MLR 4X is correlated with Ui, meaning that variation in the variable can be explained by the error terms. (bad!). ; endogeneity is a violation of assumption MLR.426
1576727581How can you Fix multicollinarity in a regression?Drop one of the multicollinear variables or a constant and run the regression again.27
1576727582What is the formula for degrees of freedom?(N-k-1)28
1576727583What does zero conditional mean, mean?The value of the explanatory variables must contain no information about the mean of the unobserved factors.29
1576728035Explain the "Unbiasedness of OLS" theorem in words:On average the coefficients will be the same if the drawing is repeated multiple times.30
1576749781What are the standard assumptions for the multiple regression model?Assumption MLR.1 (Linear in parameters) Assumption MLR.2 (Random sampling) Assumption MLR.3 (No perfect collinearity) Assumption MLR.4 (Zero conditional mean) Assumption MLR.5 (Homoscedasticity) Assumption MLR.6 (Normality in error terms)31
1576751967Which equation describes Assumption MLR.1 (Linear in parameters)?Y= B0 + B2X2 +...+ BkXk + u32
1576751968Which equation describes Assumption MLR.4 (Zero conditional mean)?E(Ui I Xi) = 033
1576749782Is Assumption MLR.3 (No perfect collinearity) hard to meet?No. It only rules out PERFECT collinearity. Hence, close to perfect is ok. Constants are ruled out (collinear with intercept)34
1576751969Is Assumption MLR.4 (Zero conditional mean) E(Ui I Xi) = 0 hard to meet? Comparing simple to multiple regressionNo. In a multiple regression model, the zero conditional mean assumption is much more likely to hold because fewer things end up in the error35
1576755753Which equation describes Assumption MLR.5 (Homoscedasticity)?Var( Ui I Xi1, Xi2,..., Xik) = s^236
1576755754When is OLS the best estimator?OLS is only the best estimator (best linear unbiased estimator BLUE) if MLR.1 - MLR.5 hold; if there is heteroscedasticity for example, there are better estimators.37
1581273609What is an interaction term and what is the interpretation?A combination term, allowing the change in Y to be a function of a combination of sex, race etc.38
1581275287What is the equation used to find the T-value? t(calc)39
1581277450With n>120, what is the critical value for the 5% confidence level?1,9640
1581277451With n>120, what is the critical value for the 10% confidence level?1,6541
1581277452With n>120, what is the critical value for the 1% confidence level?2,5842
1581278882According to Carol, should you drop parameters that are not statistically significant?No. While it may not be significant in the population, it will still belong to the model formulated and should be left in. Exception is "^2"-terms. You include both the normal and the quadratic term. If the quadratic term is not significant, you drop it, but keep the normal43
1581281179What is the formula for the T-statistic for other values than 0?44
1584654780What is the equation for normality in error terms?45
1584663655What does the central limit theorem state?Central limit theorem (CLT) states that, the arithmetic mean of a sufficiently large number of iterates of independent random variables, each with a well-defined expected value and well-defined variance, will be approximately normally distributed46
1584663656What is a type 1 error?That you reject a true Ho47
1584663657What is a type 2 error?That you fail to reject a false Ho48
1584663658What is the probability of making a type 1 error?The p-value is the probability of making a type 1 error, GIVEN THAT THE NULL HYPOTHESIS IS TRUE. If the null hypothesis is false, then it is impossible to make a type 1 error.49
1584676198In the population, there is no difference between men and women on a certain test. However, you found a difference in your sample. The probability value for the data was .03, so you rejected the null hypothesis. What type of error did you make?Type 150
1584676199It has been shown many times that on a certain memory test, recognition is substantially better than recall. However, the probability value for the data from your sample was .12, so you were unable to reject the null hypothesis that recall and recognition produce the same results. What type of error did you make?Type 251
1584676200As the p-value gets lower, which error rate also gets lower?Type 152
1584676201If the null hypothesis is false, you cannot make which kind of error?Type 153
1584696096What is the "R. Fisher approach" to conducting significance tests?If the probability is below 0.01, the data provide strong evidence that the null hypothesis is false. If the probability value is below 0.05 but larger than 0.01, then the null hypothesis is typically rejected, but not with as much confidence as it would be if the probability value were below 0.01. Probability values between 0.05 and 0.10 provide weak evidence against the null hypothesis and, by convention, are not considered low enough to justify rejecting it54
1584696097What is the "Neyman and Pearson approach" to conducting significance tests?The analyst specify an α level before analyzing the data. If the data analysis results in a probability value below the α level, then the null hypothesis is rejected; if it is not, then the null hypothesis is not rejected. According to this perspective, if a result is significant, then it does not matter how significant it is. Moreover, if it is not significant, then it does not matter how close to being significant it is. Therefore, if the 0.05 level is being used, then probability values of 0.049 and 0.001 are treated identically. Similarly, probability values of 0.06 and 0.34 are treated identically.55
1584696098What are the benefits of using log functions?Convenient percentage/elasticity interpretation Slope coefficients of logged variables are invariant to rescalings Taking logs often eliminates/mitigates problems with outliers Taking logs often helps to secure normality and homoscedasticity56
1584696099When should log functions not be used?Variables measured in units such as years and percentage points should not be logged Logs must not be used if variables take on zero or negative values57
1584698638What is the equation for adjusted R2?58
1584713440How can you tell if a model has omitted variable bias?occurs when a model is created which incorrectly leaves out one or more important causal factors. The "bias" is created when the model compensates for the missing factor by over- or underestimating the effect of one of the other factors.59
1586244699What is the marginal effect of a log-log model?(%∆y) / (%∆x)60
1586244700What is the marginal effect og a log-lin model?(%∆y) / (∆x)61
1586244701What is the marginal effect of a lin-log model?(∆x) / (%∆y)62
1586244702What is the interpretation of the log-log model ln(y) = -0,85ln(Xi) ? Where y = sales and x= price?A 1% increase in price yields a 0,85% decrease in sales63
1586244703What is the interpretation of the log-lin model ln(y) = 0,08X, where y=wage and x= yrs education?An additional year of education yields an 8% increase in wage64
1586244704What is the interpretation of the lin-log model y=65,32ln(x), where y= consumption spending and x=income in $ ?A 1% increase in X yields a 65,32/100 change in y, or $0,653265
1586967455What is the interpretation of the lin-log model y=36,42ln(x), where y= test score and x=income ?A 1% increase in income yields a 0,3642 increase in test scores66
1586967456What is the interpretation of the log-lin model ln(y) = 0,0128X, where y=earnings and x= age?A 1 year increase in age yields a 1,28% increase in earnings67
1586967457What is the interpretation of the log-log model ln(y) = 0,0554ln(Xi) ? Where y = test scores and x= income?A 1% increase in income yields a 0,0554% increase in test scores68
1586967458Explain how to interpret Lin-log modelsA 1% increase in X gives a 0,01BETA increase in Y69
1586967459Explain how to interpret log-lin modelsA 1 unit increase in X yields a 100*BETA % increase in Y70
1586967460Explain how to interpret log-log modelsA 1% increase in X yields a BETA %increase in Y71
1586967461What is important to note about linearity and parameters/variables?We assume linearity in the PARAMETERS, not the variables72
1586974695What is the formal equation for the confidence interval?β ̂ - (t_crit)*(seβ ̂ ) ≤ β ≤ β + (t_crit) * (seβ ̂ )73
1586974696When using T-test when do you reject the null?When Tcal > tTcrit74
1586974697What is the equation for the F-statistic?F = (R2/K)/((1-R2)/(n-k-1))75
1586974698What does the F-statistic meassure?We are testing whether ANY of the B's are statistically signifikant76
1586974699What is variance inflation factor?The variance inflation factor tells you how much a parameter is inflated, compared to if the variable had been completely uncorrelated to the other variables in the model. It means that there is some degree of multicollinearity in the model.77
1586974700What would it mean if the variance inflation factor of a predictor variable were 5.27 ?This means that the standard error for the coefficient of that predictor variable is 2.3 times (√5.27 = 2.3) as large as it would be if that predictor variable were uncorrelated with the other predictor variables.78
1586976958What is the rule of thumb for the max size of VIF?Below 1079
1586976959If you have multicollinearity (high VIF) in a model, what can you do?1) Drop the offending variable if it makes sense. 2) Get more data if possible 3) Live with it and explain the issue.80
1844430226True or False: The heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors are always bigger than the usual standard errorsFalse. While most often true, it is not a given fact.81
1897390532If there is heteroskedasticity present, can an OLS estimator still be unbiased and efficient?The estimator can still be unbiased (1-4), but the estimator will be asymtotically inefficient in the presence of heteroskedasticity.82
1904556233Whats is the difference between having MLR 1-4, MLR 1-6 and MLR 1-5+large sample?MLR 1-4: Unbiased and consistent. MLR 1-6 is Exact tests MLR1-5+"large sample" means asymtotically valid tests83
1904556234What is MLR 6?Normality in the error term84
1904561649What are the four causes of endogeniety?Wrong functional form. (^2 or similar) Omitted variable bias. Simultaneity Measurement error85
1904561650Which 2 things needs to be fulfilled in order to have an omitted variable bias?An effect: B≠0 and a correlation (X1, X2) ≠ 086
1904569406When carrying out hypothesis tests, which two interpretations are important? And what should always be mentioned before the null hypothesis?Both the statitic and the economic 1) Assumptions 2) Test-size t(375)=xx.x (show how it's calculated) + significance level 3) Conclusion 4) A nice drawing of the standard normal87
1904577419How is the correlation calculated?COV(A,B)/ (σa*σb)88
1904639821Breush pagan and graphic tests are coming for the examn...89
1906294551What is the first order condition for OLS?SUM(Yi-Bohat-B1ihatX1i-B2ihatX2i-...-BjihatXji) = 090
2096510629Which moment is SLR4?The first moment91
2096510650Which moment is SLR5?The 2nd moment92
2096510981What is the mathematical equation for MLR 5?93
2096513282What is the mathematical equation for the variance of the OLS estimator?94
2096514097The true variance is unknown, but how can it be estimated and what is the formula? (for a simple model with 1 regressor)95
2096517526What is the matrix formulation of the OLS estimator?96
2096524148How can you relate two SLR models compared to a single MLR model with aux regress?1) You regress X1 on X2 2) Then regress Y on the errors from this regression97
2096527200What are causes for violations of MLR4?1) Incorrect functional form 2) Omitted variables 3) Simultaneity (x causes y, y causes x) 4) Measurement error (attenuation bias)98
2096537809What is a general formula for omitted variable bias?99
2096538323What is the formula for homoskedasticity?100
2096542355What are the needed steps for hypothesis testing?101
2096547485What is the equation for inconsistency (asymptotic bias) in the OLS? (simple)102
2096552979When is the OLS asymtotically efficient?Under MLR1-5 + a large sample103
2096553814What is the equation for the LM test statistic?104
2096554460How do you carry out an LM test?105
2097430993What is the equation for the chow test with two groups?106
2097431313What is the general form of the chow test?107
2097432745How does the variance look with heteroskedasticity?108
2097433388What are the implications if the errors are heteroscedastic?109
2097434087What is the equation for the robust variance? (White 1980)110
2097447354How does robust OLS and weighted least squares perform in small samples?WLS performs fine, but Robust OLS needs a large sample to be asymtotically valie.111
2097451710What is the equation for the Breusch-Pagan test and what test is used?112
2098567714What is the null and alternative hypothesis for the Breusch Pagan test?Ho= Homoskedasticity Ha= Heteroskedasticity113
2098569820How is the classic (big) white test formulated?The white test, tests that u^2 is uncorrelated with 1) the explanatory variables, 2) their squared terms and 3) the cross products. Hence, for k=3 there will be 9 regressors. It will test against a LM test n*R2114
2098575419How is the simplified White test formulated?The simplified white test, tests that u^2 is uncorrelated with 1) the explanatory variables, 2) their squared terms115
2098578136What is the null and alternatively hypothesis in the white test?116
2098586206How do you apply weighted least squares?If the type of heteroscedasticity is a known function of the explanatory variables "h(x)", by dividing all parameters (and the error term) with the square root of h(x)117
2098590748What is the formal equation for weighted least squares?118
2098591166What is the error term in WLS, and what is it's properties? (both regarding expectations and variance)119
2098592512What is the intercept of WLS? Is WLS unbiased, efficient and BLUE? Which tests are valid using WLS?120
2098599375A121
2098599565A122
2098600956Described in words, what does Feasible GLS do?Feasible GLS tries to model the heterescedasticity and thereafter correct for it.123
2098605341What is the procedure for FGLS?124
2098647670What are the two main assumptions(requirements) an instrument "Z" has to satisfy?125
2098650249What is the equation for the IV estimator?126
2098651575What are generally the main issues with using the IV-estimator?127
2098654191What happens if you have a "weak" instrument (z and x are not highly correlated)?A low correlation will greatly inflate the variance of the IV estimator.128
2098655858What is the difference between the variance of the of the OLS estimator and the IV estimator?129
2098662940What are the requirements for the instruments in a IV regression with more than one instrument?130
2098664032What is the matrix notation for the IV estimator?131
2098666902IV Q1 - answer next slide132
2098667071IV Q1 - answerC133
2098674754What are the 2 steps for 2SLS?134
2098687870What does the dif-in-dif estimator measure?The dif-in-dif estimator measures the difference between a policy change over time.135
2102602150What are the assumptions for the first differences model and which assumptions are different from the OLS?136
2102605743What is the equation for the first difference estimator?137
2102606377How does OLS estimates compare to FD estimates and which should you use?138
2102609188What is the equation for the fixed effects estimator?139

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