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AP Statistics Flashcards

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13861182562How do you check if there is outliers?calculate IQR; anything above Q3+1.5(IQR) or below Q1-1.5(IQR) is an outlier0
13861182563If a graph is skewed, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?median; it is resistant to skews and outliers1
13861182564If a graph is roughly symmetrical, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?mean; generally is more accurate if the data has no outliers2
13861182565What is in the five number summary?Minimum, Q1, Median, Q3, Maximum3
13861182566Relationship between variance and standard deviation?variance=(standard deviation)^24
13861182567variance definitionthe variance is roughly the average of the squared differences between each observation and the mean5
13861182568standard deviationthe standard deviation is the square root of the variance6
13861182569What should we use to measure spread if the median was calculated?IQR7
13861182570What should we use to measure spread if the mean was calculated?standard deviation8
13861182571What is the IQR? How much of the data does it represent?Q3-Q1; 50%9
13861182572How do you calculate standard deviation?1. Type data into L1 2. Find mean with 1 Variable Stats 3. Turn L2 into (L1-mean) 4. Turn L3 into (L2)^2 5. Go to 2nd STAT over to MATH, select sum( 6. Type in L3 7. multiply it by (1/n-1) 8. Square root it10
13861182753What is the formula for standard deviation?11
13861182573Categorical variables vs. Quantitative VariablesCategorical: individuals can be assigned to one of several groups or categories Quantitative: takes numberical values12
13861182574If a possible outlier is on the fence, is it an outlier?No13
13861182575Things to include when describing a distributionCenter (Mean or Median), Unusual Gaps or Outliers, Spread (Standard Deviation or IQR), Shape (Roughly Symmetric, slightly/heavily skewed left or right, bimodal, range)14
13861182576Explain how to standardize a variable. What is the purpose of standardizing a variable?Subtract the distribution mean and then divide by standard deviation. Tells us how many standard deviations from the mean an observation falls, and in what direction.15
13861182577What effect does standardizing the values have on the distribution?shape would be the same as the original distribution, the mean would become 0, the standard deviation would become 116
13861182578What is a density curve?a curve that (a) is on or above the horizontal axis, and (b) has exactly an area of 117
13861182579Inverse Normwhen you want to find the percentile: invNorm (area, mean, standard deviation)18
13861182580z(x-mean)/standard deviation19
13861182581pth percentilethe value with p percent observations less than is20
13861182582cumulative relative frequency graphcan be used to describe the position of an individual within a distribution or to locate a specified percentile of the distribution21
13861182583How to find and interpret the correlation coefficient r for a scatterplotSTAT plot, scatter, L1 and L2 (Plot 1: ON); STAT --> CALC --> 8:LinReg(a+bx) No r? --> 2nd 0 (Catalog) down to Diagnostic ON22
13861182584rtells us the strength of a LINEAR association. -1 to 1. Not resistant to outliers23
13861182585r^2the proportion (percent) of the variation in the values of y that can be accounted for by the least squares regression line24
13861182586residual plota scatterplot of the residuals against the explanatory variable. Residual plots help us assess how well a regression line fits the data. It should have NO PATTERN25
13861182587regression linea line that describes how a response variable y changes as an explanatory variable x changes. We often use a regression line to predict the value of y for a given value of x.26
13861182588residual formularesidual=y-y(hat) aka observed y - predicted y27
13861182589What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is binomial?BINS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another? 3. Number: There is a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial28
13861182590What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is geometric?BITS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another 3. Trials: There is not a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial29
13861182591nnumber of trials30
13861182592pprobability of success31
13861182593knumber of successes32
13861182594Binomial Formula for P(X=k)(n choose k) p^k (1-p)^(n-k)33
13861182595Binomial Calculator Function to find P(X=k)binompdf(n,p,k)34
13861182596Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≤k)binomcdf(n,p,k)35
13861182597Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-binomcdf(n,p,k-1)36
13861182598mean of a binomial distributionnp37
13861182599standard deviation of a binomial distribution√(np(1-p))38
13861182600Geometric Formula for P(X=k)(1-p)^(k-1) x p39
13861182601Geometric Calculator Function to find P(X=k)geometpdf(p,k)40
13861182602Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≤k)geometcdf(p,k)41
13861182603Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-geometcdf(p,k-1)42
13861182604Mean of a geometric distribution1/p=expected number of trials until success43
13861182605Standard deviation of a geometric distribution√((1-p)/(p²))44
13861182606What do you do if the binomial probability is for a range, rather than a specific number?Take binomcdf(n,p,maximum) - binomcdf(n,p,minimum-1)45
13861182607how do you enter n choose k into the calculator?type "n" on home screen, go to MATH --> PRB --> 3: ncr, type "k"46
13861182608μ(x+y)μx+μy47
13861182609μ(x-y)μx-μy48
13861182610σ(x+y)√(σ²x+σ²y)49
13861182611What does adding or subtracting a constant effect?Measures of center (median and mean). Does NOT affect measures of spread (IQR and Standard Deviation) or shape.50
13861182612What does multiplying or dividing a constant effect?Both measures of center (median and mean) and measures of spread (IQR and standard deviation). Shape is not effected. For variance, multiply by a² (if y=ax+b).51
13861182613σ(x-y)√(σ²x+σ²y) --> you add to get the difference because variance is distance from mean and you cannot have a negative distance52
13861182614calculate μx by handX1P1+X2P2+.... XKPK (SigmaXKPK)53
13861182615calculate var(x) by hand(X1-μx)²p(1)+(X2-μx)²p(2)+.... (Sigma(Xk-μx)²p(k))54
13861182616Standard deviationsquare root of variance55
13861182617discrete random variablesa fixed set of possible x values (whole numbers)56
13861182618continuous random variables-x takes all values in an interval of numbers -can be represented by a density curve (area of 1, on or above the horizontal axis)57
13861182619What is the variance of the sum of 2 random variables X and Y?(σx)²+(σy)², but ONLY if x and y are independent.58
13861182620mutually exclusiveno outcomes in common59
13861182621addition rule for mutually exclusive events P (A U B)P(A)+P(B)60
13861182622complement rule P(A^C)1-P(A)61
13861182623general addition rule (not mutually exclusive) P(A U B)P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)62
13861182624intersection P(A n B)both A and B will occur63
13861182625conditional probability P (A | B)P(A n B) / P(B)64
13861182626independent events (how to check independence)P(A) = P(A|B) P(B)= P(B|A)65
13861182627multiplication rule for independent events P(A n B)P(A) x P(B)66
13861182628general multiplication rule (non-independent events) P(A n B)P(A) x P(B|A)67
13861182629sample spacea list of possible outcomes68
13861182630probability modela description of some chance process that consists of 2 parts: a sample space S and a probability for each outcome69
13861182631eventany collection of outcomes from some chance process, designated by a capital letter (an event is a subset of the sample space)70
13861182632What is the P(A) if all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely?P(A) = (number of outcomes corresponding to event A)/(total number of outcomes in sample space)71
13861182633Complementprobability that an event does not occur72
13861182634What is the sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes?173
13861182635What is the probability of two mutually exclusive events?P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)74
13861182636five basic probability rules1. for event A, 0≤P(A)≤1 2. P(S)=1 3. If all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely, P(A)=number of outcomes corresponding to event A / total number of outcomes in sample space 4. P(A^C) = 1-P(A) 5. If A and B are mutually exclusive, P(A n B)=P(A)+P(B)75
13861182637When is a two-way table helpfuldisplays the sample space for probabilities involving two events more clearly76
13861182638In statistics, what is meant by the word "or"?could have either event or both77
13861182639When can a Venn Diagram be helpful?visually represents the probabilities of not mutually exclusive events78
13861182640What is the general addition rule for two events?If A and B are any two events resulting from some chance process, then the probability of A or B (or both) is P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)79
13861182641What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur80
13861182642What does the union of two or more events mean?either event A or event B (or both) occurs81
13861182643What is the law of large numbers?If we observe more and more repetitions of any chance process, the proportion of times that a specific outcome occurs approaches a single value, which we can call the probability of that outcome82
13861182644the probability of any outcome...is a number between 0 and 1 that describes the proportion of times the outcome would occur in a very long series of repetitions83
13861182645How do you interpret a probability?We interpret probability to represent the most accurate results if we did an infinite amount of trials84
13861182646What are the two myths about randomness?1. Short-run regularity --> the idea that probability is predictable in the short run 2. Law of Averages --> people except the alternative outcome to follow a different outcome85
13861182647simulationthe imitation of chance behavior, based on a model that accurately reflects the situation86
13861182648Name and describe the four steps in performing a simulation1. State: What is the question of interest about some chance process 2. Plan: Describe how to use a chance device to imitate one repetition of process; clearly identify outcomes and measured variables 3. Do: Perform many repetitions of the simulation 4. Conclude: results to answer question of interest87
13861182649What are some common errors when using a table of random digits?not providing a clear description of the simulation process for the reader to replicate the simulation88
13861182650What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur89
13861182651sampleThe part of the population from which we actually collect information. We use information from a sample to draw conclusions about the entire population90
13861182652populationIn a statistical study, this is the entire group of individuals about which we want information91
13861182653sample surveyA study that uses an organized plan to choose a sample that represents some specific population. We base conclusions about the population on data from the sample.92
13861182654convenience sampleA sample selected by taking the members of the population that are easiest to reach; particularly prone to large bias.93
13861182655biasThe design of a statistical study shows ______ if it systematically favors certain outcomes.94
13861182656voluntary response samplePeople decide whether to join a sample based on an open invitation; particularly prone to large bias.95
13861182657random samplingThe use of chance to select a sample; is the central principle of statistical sampling.96
13861182658simple random sample (SRS)every set of n individuals has an equal chance to be the sample actually selected97
13861182659strataGroups of individuals in a population that are similar in some way that might affect their responses.98
13861182660stratified random sampleTo select this type of sample, first classify the population into groups of similar individuals, called strata. Then choose a separate SRS from each stratum to form the full sample.99
13861182661cluster sampleTo take this type of sample, first divide the population into smaller groups. Ideally, these groups should mirror the characteristics of the population. Then choose an SRS of the groups. All individuals in the chosen groups are included in the sample.100
13861182662inferenceDrawing conclusions that go beyond the data at hand.101
13861182663margin of errorTells how close the estimate tends to be to the unknown parameter in repeated random sampling.102
13861182664sampling frameThe list from which a sample is actually chosen.103
13861182665undercoverageOccurs when some members of the population are left out of the sampling frame; a type of sampling error.104
13861182666nonresponseOccurs when a selected individual cannot be contacted or refuses to cooperate; an example of a nonsampling error.105
13861182667wording of questionsThe most important influence on the answers given to a survey. Confusing or leading questions can introduce strong bias, and changes in wording can greatly change a survey's outcome. Even the order in which questions are asked matters.106
13861182668observational studyObserves individuals and measures variables of interest but does not attempt to influence the responses.107
13861182669experimentDeliberately imposes some treatment on individuals to measure their responses.108
13861182670explanatory variableA variable that helps explain or influences changes in a response variable.109
13861182671response variableA variable that measures an outcome of a study.110
13861182672lurking variablea variable that is not among the explanatory or response variables in a study but that may influence the response variable.111
13861182673treatmentA specific condition applied to the individuals in an experiment. If an experiment has several explanatory variables, a treatment is a combination of specific values of these variables.112
13861182674experimental unitthe smallest collection of individuals to which treatments are applied.113
13861182675subjectsExperimental units that are human beings.114
13861182676factorsthe explanatory variables in an experiment are often called this115
13861182677random assignmentAn important experimental design principle. Use some chance process to assign experimental units to treatments. This helps create roughly equivalent groups of experimental units by balancing the effects of lurking variables that aren't controlled on the treatment groups.116
13861182678replicationAn important experimental design principle. Use enough experimental units in each group so that any differences in the effects of the treatments can be distinguished from chance differences between the groups.117
13861182679double-blindAn experiment in which neither the subjects nor those who interact with them and measure the response variable know which treatment a subject received.118
13861182680single-blindAn experiment in which either the subjects or those who interact with them and measure the response variable, but not both, know which treatment a subject received.119
13861182681placeboan inactive (fake) treatment120
13861182682placebo effectDescribes the fact that some subjects respond favorably to any treatment, even an inactive one121
13861182683blockA group of experimental units that are known before the experiment to be similar in some way that is expected to affect the response to the treatments.122
13861182684inference about the populationUsing information from a sample to draw conclusions about the larger population. Requires that the individuals taking part in a study be randomly selected from the population of interest.123
13861182685inference about cause and effectUsing the results of an experiment to conclude that the treatments caused the difference in responses. Requires a well-designed experiment in which the treatments are randomly assigned to the experimental units.124
13861182686lack of realismWhen the treatments, the subjects, or the environment of an experiment are not realistic. Lack of realism can limit researchers' ability to apply the conclusions of an experiment to the settings of greatest interest.125
13861182687institutional review boardA basic principle of data ethics. All planned studies must be approved in advance and monitored by _____________ charged with protecting the safety and well-being of the participants.126
13861182688informed consentA basic principle of data ethics. Individuals must be informed in advance about the nature of a study and any risk of harm it may bring. Participating individuals must then consent in writing.127
13861182689simulationa model of random events128
13861182690censusa sample that includes the entire population129
13861182691population parametera number that measures a characteristic of a population130
13861182692systematic sampleevery fifth individual, for example, is chosen131
13861182693multistage samplea sampling design where several sampling methods are combined132
13861182694sampling variabilitythe naturally occurring variability found in samples133
13861182695levelsthe values that the experimenter used for a factor134
13861182696the four principles of experimental designcontrol, randomization, replication, and blocking135
13861182697completely randomized designa design where all experimental units have an equal chance of receiving any treatment136
13861182698interpreting p valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).137
13861182699p̂1-p̂2 center, shape, and spreadcenter: p1-p2 shape: n1p1, n1(1-p1), n2p2, and n2(1-p2) ≥ 10 spread (if 10% condition checks): √((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2)138
13861182700probability of getting a certain p̂1-p̂2 (ex. less than .1)plug in center and spread into bell curve, find probability139
13861182701Confidence intervals for difference in proportions formula(p̂1-p̂2) plus or minus z*(√((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2))140
13861182702When do you use t and z test/intervals?t for mean z for proportions141
13861182754Significance test for difference in proportions142
13861182703What is a null hypothesis?What is being claimed. Statistical test designed to assess strength of evidence against null hypothesis. Abbreviated by Ho.143
13861182704What is an alternative hypothesis?the claim about the population that we are trying to find evidence FOR, abbreviated by Ha144
13861182705When is the alternative hypothesis one-sided?Ha less than or greater than145
13861182706When is the alternative hypothesis two-sided?Ha is not equal to146
13861182707What is a significance level?fixed value that we compare with the P-value, matter of judgement to determine if something is "statistically significant".147
13861182708What is the default significance level?α=.05148
13861182709Interpreting the p-valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).149
13861182710p value ≤ αWe reject our null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence to say that (Ha) is true.150
13861182711p value ≥ αWe fail to reject our null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence to say that (Ho) is not true.151
13861182712reject Ho when it is actually trueType I Error152
13861182713fail to reject Ho when it is actually falseType II Error153
13861182714Power definitionprobability of rejecting Ho when it is false154
13861182715probability of Type I Errorα155
13861182716probability of Type II Error1-power156
13861182717two ways to increase powerincrease sample size/significance level α157
138611827185 step process: z/t testState --> Ho/Ha, define parameter Plan --> one sample, z test Check --> random/normal/independent Do --> find p hat, find test statistic (z), use test statistic to find p-value Conclude --> p value ≤ α reject Ho p value ≥ α fail to reject Ho158
13861182755Formula for test statistic (μ)159
13861182719Formula for test statistic (p̂) (where p represents the null)(p̂-p)/(√((p)(1-p))/n)160
13861182720probability of a Type II Error?overlap normal distribution for null and true. Find rejection line. Use normalcdf161
13861182721when do you use z tests?for proportions162
13861182722when do you use t tests?for mean (population standard deviation unknown)163
13861182723finding p value for t teststcdf(min, max, df)164
13861182724Sample paired t teststate--> Ho: μ1-μ2=0 (if its difference) plan --> one sample, paired t test check --> random, normal, independent do --> find test statistic and p value conclude --> normal conclusion165
13861182725What does statistically significant mean in context of a problem?The sample mean/proportion is far enough away from the true mean/proportion that it couldn't have happened by chance166
13861182726When doing a paired t-test, to check normality, what do you do?check the differences histogram (μ1-μ2)167
13861182727How to interpret a C% Confidence LevelIn C% of all possible samples of size n, we will construct an interval that captures the true parameter (in context).168
13861182728How to interpret a C% Confidence IntervalWe are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).169
13861182729What conditions must be checked before constructing a confidence interval?random, normal, independent170
13861182730C% confidence intervals of sample proportions, 5 step processState: Construct a C% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample z-interval for proportions Check: Random, Normal, Independent Do: Find the standard error and z*, then p hat +/- z* Conclude: We are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).171
13861182756What's the z interval standard error formula?172
13861182731How do you find z*?InvNorm(#)173
13861182732How do you find the point estimate of a sample?subtract the max and min confidence interval, divide it by two (aka find the mean of the interval ends)174
13861182733How do you find the margin of error, given the confidence interval?Ask, "What am I adding or subtracting from the point estimate?" So find the point estimate, then find the difference between the point estimate and the interval ends175
13861182734Finding sample size proportions: When p hat is unknown, or you want to guarantee a margin of error less than or equal to:use p hat=.5176
13861182735Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *known*x bar +/- z*(σ/√n)177
13861182736Checking normal condition for z* (population standard deviation known)starts normal or CLT178
13861182737Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *unknown* (which is almost always true)x bar +/- t*(Sx/√n)179
13861182738degrees of freedomn-1180
13861182739How do you find t*?InvT(area to the left, df)181
13861182740What is the standard error?same as standard deviation, but we call it "standard error" because we plugged in p hat for p (we are estimating)182
13861182741a point estimator is a statistic that...provides an estimate of a population parameter.183
13861182742Explain the two conditions when the margin of error gets smaller.Confidence level C decreases, sample size n increases184
13861182743Does the confidence level tell us the chance that a particular confidence interval captures the population parameter?NO; the confidence interval gives us a set of plausible values for the parameter185
13861182744Sx and σx: which is which?Sx is for a sample, σx is for a population186
13861182745How do we know when do use a t* interval instead of a z interval?you are not given the population standard deviation187
13861182746Checking normal condition for t* (population standard deviation unknown)Normal for sample size... -n -n<15: if the data appears closely normal (roughly symmetric, single peak, no outliers)188
13861182747How to check if a distribution is normal for t*, population n<15plug data into List 1, look at histogram. Conclude with "The histogram looks roughly symmetric, so we should be safe to use the t distribution)189
13861182748t* confidence interval, 5 step processState: Construct a __% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample t interval for a population mean Check: Random, Normal, Independent (for Normal, look at sample size and go from there) Do: Find the standard error (Sx/√n) and t*, then do x bar +/- t*(standard error) Conclude: We are __% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).190
13861182749margin of error formulaz* or t* (standard error)191
13861182750When calculating t interval, what is it and where do you find the data?x bar plus or minus t* (Sx/√n) -get x bar and Sx using 1 Var Stats -t*=Invt(area to the left, df) -population (n) will be given192
13861182751What is it looking for if it asks for the appropriate critical value?z/t* interval193

AP Government Flashcards

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10881562884ConservativeStatus Quo, less Gov.0
10881562885ModerateMid-Ground1
10881562886LiberalPeaceful gradual change, reject violent revolution2
10881562887RadicalFar Left, Resorts to extreme methods to bring about change.3
10881562888Political SpectrumTool used to visually compare different political positions by placing them on one or more axis.4
10881562889RightLess Gov intervention, Traditional Values5
10881562890LeftMore Gov Intervention, support change6
10881562891Parliamentary GovernmentExecutive are members of the legislative branch7
10881562892Presidential GovernmentSeparates Power between executive/legislative8
10881562893ReactionaryFar right, Extreme methods9
10881562894Representative DemocracyPeople represented through elected officials.10
10881562895The StateBody of people living in a defined territory, having power to make and enforce law without the consent of any higher authority.11
10881562896MonarchyPower in the hands of royalty12
10881562897DictatorshipRuled by a single leader not elected.13
10881562898Military DictatorshipArmy is in control14
10881562899TheocracyReligious based Government15
10881562900Public PoliciesAll things a government decides to do.16
10881562901Conferred PowerPower which is agreed upon.17
10881562902Four aspects of the State1. Population: must have people 2. Territory: recognized boundaries 3. Sovereignty: Having supreme and absolute authority in it's own territory 4. Government- Different forms18
10881562903Evolutionary theoryDeveloped out of early familiy19
10881562904Divine Right TheoryState created by God and those of royal birth have a divine right to rule.20
10881562905Force TheoryA group claimed control and forced all other to submit.21
10881562906Social or Political Contract theoryPeoples moral and/or political obligations are dependent on an agreement among them to form the society in which they live. *Law and political order are not natural, they are human creations.22
10881562907ConfederateAn alliance of independent states23
10881562908FederalPower is divided between a central gov't and several local gov't.24
10881562909State of NatureSurvival of the Fittest25
10881562910UnitaryAll power belongs to one level of gov't26
10881562911GovernmentAn organization of people set up to protect the community and make rules. -Protects community -Makes laws -Keeps order27
10881562912PoliticsActivities relate to governance of a country or area28
10881562913DemocracyGov elected by the people. Determine either directly or through elected Reps.29
10881562914Direct DemocracyPeople vote Directly on every issue30
10881562915DemocratsGenerally liberal because they support gov reg. of the economy.31
10881562916RepublicansGenerally Conservatives because they advocate a reduction in gov.32
10881562917Current issues (Left)Left: Pro Gun control, Pro Choice, No Censorship, Prisons should Rehabilitate, Pro-privacy, Equal funding for Education.33
10881562918Current issues (Right)Right: Anti-gun Control, Pro-life, Anti Flag burning, Prisons should punish, Prayer in schools, School vouchers.34
10881562919Taxation (Left)Acceptable, Gov have $ to fund programs benefiting society, % taxes preferred over flat rate, rich= more tax35
10881562920Taxation (Right)Taxes infringe on personal freedoms Taxes= bad for free market Taxes= Penalization those who are successful Taxes= Punish Profit Prefers flat tax36
10881562921Business Regulation (Left)Yes on gov. Reg Market no reliable to provide safe work conditions Gov. reg= protect workers+ consumers= Everyone= chance to succeed37
10881562922Business Regulations (Right)Business need free from gov. and supply and demand will guide Gov policies that affect products are bad Trickle down economics is the way to stimulate economy38
10881562923Political Rights (Left)Extend Civil Rights to minority groups, students, prisoners, homosexuals, and poor. Protect individual rights: Free speech, pro-choice, anti-capital punishment, and privacy.39
10881562924Political Rights (Right)Cent gov= diminish Issues dealt best on state and local level No change in family values ( usually christian centered) O.K to censor obscure ideas that shake Status Quo.40
10881562925Distribution of wealth (Left)Disparity between rich and poor no good, taxes= distribute wealth. Gov more involved in ed, Health care, Child C., and Elderly. Pub Project= Stimulate economy41
10881562926Distribution of wealth (Right)Business= right to make profit People are rich or poor b/c of choices they make Prosperous people should no be penalized.42
10881562927Economy (Left)Minimum wage standards Public projects= more jobs Gov provide basic living standards of living to all citizens43
10881562928Economy (Right)Economy works best in free market (Laissez- Faire) Forces of the market= trusted to meet needs of business, consumer, and workers. Gov. programs should not compete with private industry.44
10881562929Foreign Affairs (Left)Spread Democracy + Protect human rights in the world Strong Support of UN.45
10881562930Foreign Affairs (Right)Gov role= pro us business and econ. intervention in other countries. Fix us before we fix others Support tariffs (tax on imports)46
10881562931SCOPE OF THE GOVERNMENT (Left)The government should serve as the equalizers in society and establish a basic standard of living, a minimum wage is an acceptable tool of government intervention. The left accepts government control and regulation of business and an active government that protects political rights.47
10881562932SCOPE OF THE GOVERNMENT (Right)Government should be downsized. Large governments, both federal and state, have the power to control business interests and therefore potentially infringe on the freedoms of individuals. Government programs tend to provide unnecessary services that go beyond the scope of the constitution.48
10881562933Two- Party SystemA system where two major political parties dominate politics within a government49
10881562934Third partyAny political party that is not one of the two major parties in a two-party system50
10881562935PlankEach issue included in a political party's platform. Gives the candidates a clear political position with which they can campaign. They give voters a sense of what the candidates believe in, the issues they think are important, and how - if elected - they will address them.51
10881562936Becoming PresidentStep 1: Formation of a Presidential Exploratory Committee Step 2: Announcement of intention to run for president based on findings of the exploratory committee Step 3: Fundraising and gathering of support and endorsements from the general public as well as other politicians, special interest groups, corporations, etc. Step 4: Campaigning early, especially in states where primaries are important (Iowa, New Hampshire, candidates home state, etc.) Step 5: Continuing to campaign to beat out all other opponents from within your own party Step 6: Attending your party's National Convention and securing the nomination of the party Step 7: Campaigning nationwide against your opponents from other parties Step 8: Winning election and securing enough electoral college votes to be named the next president52
10881562937Three main concepts of Government brought by English ColonistsThe need for an ordered social system, or government. The idea of limited government, that is, that government should not be all-powerful. The concept of representative government—a government that serves the will of the people.53
10881562938Royal ColoniesRuled directly by the English monarchy.54
10881562939Proprietary colonies.Land given to the colonist by the Monarchy55
10881562940Charter ColonistsSelf-governed, and their charters were granted to the colonists.56
10881562941ConfederationA joining of several groups for a common purpose57
10881562942The Albany PlanIn 1754, Benjamin Franklin proposed the Albany Plan, an annual congress of delegates (representatives) from each of the 13 colonies would be formed.58
10881562943Stamp Act CongressIn 1765, a group of colonies sent delegates to the Stamp Act Congress in New York. These delegates prepared the Declaration of Rights and Grievances against British policies and sent it to the king.59
10881562944First Continental CongressThe colonists sent a Declaration of Rights to King George III. The delegates urged each of the colonies to refuse all trade with England until British tax and trade regulations were repealed, or recalled.60
10881562945Second Continental CongressIn 1775, each of the 13 colonies sent representatives to this gathering in Philadelphia. The Second Continental Congress served as the first government of the United States from 1776 to 1781.61
10881562946Declaration of IndependenceJuly 4, 1776, the Second Continental Congress adopted the Declaration of Independence. Between 1776 and 1777, most of the States adopted constitutions instead of charters.62
10881562947Common Features of State ConstitutionsPopular Sovereignty Limited Government Civil Rights and Liberties Separation of Powers and Checks and Balances63
10881562948Popular SovereigntyThe principle of popular sovereignty was the basis for every new State constitution. That principle says that government can exist and function only with the consent of the governed. The people hold power and the people are sovereign.64
10881562949Limited GovernmentThe concept of limited government was a major feature of each State constitution. The powers delegated to government were granted reluctantly and hedged with many restrictions.65
10881562950Civil Rights and LibertiesIn every State it was made clear that the sovereign people held certain rights that the government must respect at all times. Seven of the new constitutions contained a bill of rights, setting out the "unalienable rights" held by the people.66
10881562951Separation of Powers and Checks and BalancesThe powers granted to the new State governments were purposely divided among three branches: executive, legislative, and judicial. Each branch was given powers with which to check (restrain the actions of) the other branches of the government.67
10881562952Articles of Confederation (AC)Approved November 15, 1777 Est. "a firm league of friendship" between the states Needed the ratification of the 13 states March 1, 1781 Second Continental Congress declared the Articles effective68
10881562953Structure of Constitution3 parts; the preamble, the articles(7), and the amendments69
10881562954The Preambleintro, explains purpose of Constitution and purpose of govt70
10881562955Article Iestablishes legislative branch71
10881562956Article IIcreates an executive branch to carry out laws created by Congress72
10881562957Article IIIcreates judicial branch73
10881562958Article IVexplains the relationship of the states to one another and to the national govt74
10881562959Article Vspells out the ways the Constitution can be amended75
10881562960Article VIcontains the supremacy clause, establishing that federal law shall be the supreme law of the land76
10881562961Article VIIaddresses ratification and says that 9 states are needed to ratify the Constitution77
10881562962Connecticut CompromiseTwo houses Senate - equal representation House - proportional representation based on population Combination of Virginia and New Jersey plans78
108815629636 Major Principles of Constitution1. Popular sovereignty- rule by people 2. Federalism- power is divided between national and state govts 3. Separation of powers- limits the central govt by dividing power among the legislative, executive, and judicial branches 4. checks and balances- each branch of govt exercises some control over the others79
10881562964Electoral Collegea compromise, combining features of both congressional selection and direct popular election80
10881562965Electorsindividuals selected in each state to officially cast that state's electoral votes; Wisconsin selects 10 electors81
10881562966Popular Votethe popular vote winner may not win the electoral college; for example: small-state bias caused by each state getting at least three electoral votes regardless of its size82
10881562967The Virginia Plan-Three Separate branches of government: Legislature, Executive, and Judicial -Bicameral legislature (2 parts) -Based on population or the amount of money given to support the central government -Members of House of Reps = based on population -Senate = chosen by House from a list from the State Legislature -Congress would be given powers it had under the Articles of Confederation -Any State law that conflicted with National Law would be vetoed -"National Executive" and "National Judiciary" -Council of Revision -Veto acts passed by Congress (but can be overridden by Congress) -State officers should take an Oath to the Union -Admission process for new States83
10881562968New Jersey Plan-Unicameral (one body) Congress of the Confederation -Each state equally represented -Give them limited and closely monitored powers -Tax and regulate trade -Federal Executive -More than one person -Chosen by Congress/could be removed with a majority vote -Federal Judiciary -Single "supreme Tribunal" -Selected by the Executive Branch84
10881562969Three-Fifths CompromiseAll "free persons" will be counted; 3/5 of all other persons Southerners could count slaves but had to pay taxes on them85
10881562970judicial reviewpower of courts to say that laws and actions of govt are invalid bc they conflict w the constitution's principles86
10881562971The Commerce and Slave Trade CompromisesCongress has the power to regulate foreign and interstate trade -Scared southerners because of slave trade -States cannot enact import/export taxes only federal government can -Could not act on the slave trade for 20 years87
10881562972AC (Power of congress)Make war and peace Send and receive ambassadors Make treaties Borrow money Set up a money system Est. post offices Build a navy Raise an army by asking the states for troops Fix uniform standards of weights and measures Settle disputes among the states88
10881562973James MadisonJames Madison was the co-author of the Articles of Confederation. Kept detailed records of the convention Conventions Floor leader Contributed more to the constitution than any other89
10881562974Constitutional ConventionMid-February of 1787 meeting of all thirteen States, which eventually became the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia.90
10881562975AC (States Obligations)Pledge to obey the Articles and Acts of the Congress Provide the funds and troops requested by the congress Treat citizens of other states fairly and equally Give full faith and credit to public acts, records, and judicial proceedings Submit disputes to congress for settlement Allow open travel and trade b/w and among states Primarily responsible for protecting life and property Accountable for promoting the general welfare of the people.91
10881562976Weaknesses of the Articles-One vote for each state, regardless of size. -Congress powerless to lay and collect taxes, and regulate foreign and interstate commerce. -No executive to enforce acts of congress. -No national court system. Amendment only with consent of all states. -Amendment only with consent of all State. -A 9/13 majority required to pass laws. -Articles only a "firm league of friendship"92
10881562977Lobbyingefforts by individuals or groups to influence governmental decision makers Types of lobbying; -full-time employee -temporary employee -often former legislatives93
10881562978Inside lobbyingappeals directly to lawmakers and their staff -through meetings -by providing research and info -by testifying at committee hearings94
10881562979Outside lobbyingattempt to influence decision makers indirectly, by influencing the public -try to build public support -increase conflict about an issue -lobby other groups and try to form alliances tactics: direct contact, direct mail, and media advertisements95
10881562980Electioneering-efforts to help candidates financially -efforts to help candidates gain voter support96
10881562981Litigationtestifying to influence public policy97
10881562982Types of Interest Groups-economic interests -environmental interests -equality interests -consumer and other public interest lobbies98
10881562983Economic Intereststrade associations; - organized commercial groups, farm organizations - corporations; form own interest groups, hire lobbyists - labor unions, professional associations99
10881562984Environmental Interests- sprang up since 1970 - profound policy impact bc of numbers, not money100
10881562985PACPolitical Action Committees; raise and spend money to influence electoral outcomes101
10881562986Equality Interests14th Amendment guarantees equality Minorities and Equality - social welfare policies Women102
10881562987Consumer and Other Public Interest LobbiesRepresent broad classes of people or the public as a whole -consumer, voters, reformers, etc Public Interest Groups -policies that are in the public's interest Think tanks -conduct research -advocate a strong ideological viewpoint103
10881562988How do interest groups shape public policy?lobbying, electioneering, litigation, going public104
10881562989Law making processhttp://integrationsolutions.westlaw.com/gov/leghist/images/cap.gif105
10881562990Presidential RolesChief of State - the ceremonial head of the government of the United States Chief Executive - given this title by the Constitution Chief Administrator - carry out the laws, head of the federal bureaucracy Chief Diplomat - main architect of America's foreign policy Commander in Chief - head of the nation's armed forces Chief Legislator - can push for laws to be passed Chief of Party - Leader of their political party106
10881562991Presidential QualificationsMust be a natural born citizen Be at least 35 years old Have lived in the U.S. for at least 14 years107
10881562992Who takes over if pres. cannotVice President Speaker of the House President pro tempore Secretary of State108
1088156299322nd Amendmentset 2 term limit on109
10881562994Presidential pay$400,000 a year and $50,000 expense account110
10881562995Presidential BenefitsLive in the White House (132 Rooms) Yacht, Automobiles, Air Force One Lifetime pension of $143,800 a year Camp David - Resort in Maryland111
10881562996Presidential powerPower to appoint cabinet members, diplomats and ambassadors, judges Power to make treaties - formal agreement between two or more sovereign state Executive Agreement - pacts between the President and the heads of foreign states Recognition - President can acknowledge the legal existence of a country and its government112
10881562997Presidential Legislative powerRecommend Legislation Veto Bills Can call for a special session of Congress113
10881562998Presidential Judicial powerReprieve - postponement of the execution of a sentence Pardon - legal forgiveness of a crime (only involving a federal offense) Commutation - reduce the length of a sentence or a fine Amnesty - a general pardon offered to a group of violators 1977 - Pardon to Vietnam War draft evaders114
10881562999Main jobs of House and SenateMake Laws Declare War Represent their Constituents115
10881563000House Membership435 members (each state's delegation is determined by its population)116
10881563001Senate Membership100 members (two per state)117
10881563002House Qualifications25 years old U.S Citizens for 7 years Resident of State they're representing118
10881563003Senate Qualifications30 years old U.S citizens for 9 years Resident of State they're representing119
10881563004Terms limit for House2 years entire house elected every two years120
10881563005Terms limit for Senate1/3 of Senate 2 years121
10881563006"Leader" of HouseSpeaker of the House122
10881563007"Leader" of SenateVice President123
10881563008How House is electedDirectly voted by voter per district124
10881563009How Senate is electedDirectly by the voters of a state125
10881563010ReapportionmentApplies only to HOUSE redistribution of seats every 10 years states gain or lose seats based on their population growing or shrinking126
10881563011Thomas PaineAuthor of book "Common Sense"127
10881563012Gerrymanderingan attempt by politicians to create unbalanced districts for their party's political gain128
10881563013Special Powers of HouseBrings impeachment charges May choose the President if there is no majority in the electoral system Must start all revenue bills129
10881563014Special Powers of SenateActs as jury in impeachment trials (2/3 vote needed) May choose the Vice President if there is no majority in the electoral system Must ratify treaties with foreign nations by 2/3 vote Must approves Presidential appointments (majority needed)130
10881563015What makes an interest group successful?access, info, leadership skills, numerical strength, group unity, money131
10881563016CBO- strengthen Congress' role in the budgeting process132
10881563017Pluralist Theory- groups link ppl and govt - competition between interest groups is a central part of American democracy - different groups have strengths in different areas133
10881563018Types of CommitteesStanding committees - handle bills in different policy areas Select - may be temporary and permanent and usually have focused responsibility Joint Committees - draw their membership from both the Senate and the House Conference Committees - are formed when Senate and the house pass different versions of the same bill134
10881563019Elite Theory- reject the pluralists' assertion that competing groups balance power - believe unequal distribution of power in society ensures that interests of some groups will dominate others135
10881563020Hyperpluralist Theory- argue that pluralism in the US is out of control -results in govt that is very subservient to interest groups and tries to appease them all136
108815630214 Models of Representationsdelegate model - assumes that a representative's job is to convey the will of the majority of their constituents to the legislature trustee model - should take the majority view into account but use his or best judgment when voting or acting on behalf of constituents politico model -middle path between trustees and delegate model conscience model - should generally follow what the follow what the public says unless it goes against their deepest values137
10881563022Agenda settingbringing issues to the public's attention and placing them on the national agenda138
10881563023GAOGovernment Accountability Office - broad authority to oversee the operations and finances of executive agencies139
10881563024GPOthecGovernment Printing Office - distributes over 200,000 govt publications in U.S. govt bookstores throughout the nation140
10881563025Types of gerrymanderingPartisan gerrymandering - drawing a district to favor one political party over others Incumbent gerrymandering - a state legislature is so closely divided that neither political party has an advantage Racial gerrymandering - drawing a district to favor one racial group over others Affirmative racial gerrymandering - creation of predominately African American and minority districts whenever possible141
10881563026Free rider problembarrier to collective action bc ppl can reap the benefits of group efforts without participating142
10881563027Single-issue groupsgroups that have a narrow interest, tend to dislike compromise, and often draw membership from people new to politics143
10881563028CRSCongressional Research Service - works for the U.S. Congress and provides nonpartisan an policy and research analysis to committees and members of both houses144
10881563029Edmund Burkecontrasts with the idea of representatives as delegated who feel obligated to vote according to the views of the "folks back home" regardless of their own personal viewpoint145
10881563030Caucusa group of members of Congress sharing some interest or characteristic146
10881563031House Rules Committeethe committee in the House of Representatives that reviews most bills coming from a House committee before they go to the full House147
10881563032Companion legislationsimilar or identical legislation which is introduced in Senate and House148
10881563033Omnibus legislationlarge bills that often cover several topics and may contain extraneous, or pork-barrel projects149
10881563034Who runs for congress?People involved: Law Business Public service150
10881563035legislative oversightcongress' monitoring of the bureaucracy and its administration of policy, performed mainly through hearings151
10881563036power of the pursecongressional exclusive power to authorize expenditures by all avenues of the federal govt152
10881563037advice and consentadvice and consent and confirmation of presidential appointments and treaties153
10881563038Seniority systemgoverns most committee assignments and movement into committee leadership positions154
10881563039Pork barrelfederal projects, grants, and contracts available to state and local govts, businesses, colleges, and other institutions155
10881563040congressional caseworkactivities of members of Congress that help constituents as individuals, particularly by cutting through bureaucratic red tape to get ppl what they think they have a right to get156
10881563041partisan polarizationa vote in which a majority of democratic legislators oppose a majority of republican legislators157
10881563042incumbent advantagesadvertising - gather info through technological sources-thus having the incumbents' personal interests credit claiming - enhancing their standing w constituents through service to individuals and the district weak opponents -no name recognition campaign spending - the candidate who spends the most money tends to win misinformed voters158
10881563043federalista person who advocates or supports a system of government in which several states unite under a central authority159
10881563044anti-federalistsomebody who opposed the U.S. Constitution when it was being drawn up160
10881563045filibusterany member can speak for as long as he or she wants on any given use161
10881563046Amendment 1 freedomsFreedom of Religion, freedom of speech, Freedom of expression, Freedom of the Press, and Freedom of Assembly.162
10881563047bill of rightsthe first ten amendments to the US Constitution163

AP Statistics Flashcards

Terms : Hide Images
13803730805How do you check if there is outliers?calculate IQR; anything above Q3+1.5(IQR) or below Q1-1.5(IQR) is an outlier0
13803730806If a graph is skewed, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?median; it is resistant to skews and outliers1
13803730807If a graph is roughly symmetrical, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?mean; generally is more accurate if the data has no outliers2
13803730808What is in the five number summary?Minimum, Q1, Median, Q3, Maximum3
13803730809Relationship between variance and standard deviation?variance=(standard deviation)^24
13803730810variance definitionthe variance is roughly the average of the squared differences between each observation and the mean5
13803730811standard deviationthe standard deviation is the square root of the variance6
13803730812What should we use to measure spread if the median was calculated?IQR7
13803730813What should we use to measure spread if the mean was calculated?standard deviation8
13803730814What is the IQR? How much of the data does it represent?Q3-Q1; 50%9
13803730815How do you calculate standard deviation?1. Type data into L1 2. Find mean with 1 Variable Stats 3. Turn L2 into (L1-mean) 4. Turn L3 into (L2)^2 5. Go to 2nd STAT over to MATH, select sum( 6. Type in L3 7. multiply it by (1/n-1) 8. Square root it10
13803730995What is the formula for standard deviation?11
13803730816Categorical variables vs. Quantitative VariablesCategorical: individuals can be assigned to one of several groups or categories Quantitative: takes numberical values12
13803730817If a possible outlier is on the fence, is it an outlier?No13
13803730818Things to include when describing a distributionCenter (Mean or Median), Unusual Gaps or Outliers, Spread (Standard Deviation or IQR), Shape (Roughly Symmetric, slightly/heavily skewed left or right, bimodal, range)14
13803730819Explain how to standardize a variable. What is the purpose of standardizing a variable?Subtract the distribution mean and then divide by standard deviation. Tells us how many standard deviations from the mean an observation falls, and in what direction.15
13803730820What effect does standardizing the values have on the distribution?shape would be the same as the original distribution, the mean would become 0, the standard deviation would become 116
13803730821What is a density curve?a curve that (a) is on or above the horizontal axis, and (b) has exactly an area of 117
13803730822Inverse Normwhen you want to find the percentile: invNorm (area, mean, standard deviation)18
13803730823z(x-mean)/standard deviation19
13803730824pth percentilethe value with p percent observations less than is20
13803730825cumulative relative frequency graphcan be used to describe the position of an individual within a distribution or to locate a specified percentile of the distribution21
13803730826How to find and interpret the correlation coefficient r for a scatterplotSTAT plot, scatter, L1 and L2 (Plot 1: ON); STAT --> CALC --> 8:LinReg(a+bx) No r? --> 2nd 0 (Catalog) down to Diagnostic ON22
13803730827rtells us the strength of a LINEAR association. -1 to 1. Not resistant to outliers23
13803730828r^2the proportion (percent) of the variation in the values of y that can be accounted for by the least squares regression line24
13803730829residual plota scatterplot of the residuals against the explanatory variable. Residual plots help us assess how well a regression line fits the data. It should have NO PATTERN25
13803730830regression linea line that describes how a response variable y changes as an explanatory variable x changes. We often use a regression line to predict the value of y for a given value of x.26
13803730831residual formularesidual=y-y(hat) aka observed y - predicted y27
13803730832What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is binomial?BINS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another? 3. Number: There is a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial28
13803730833What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is geometric?BITS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another 3. Trials: There is not a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial29
13803730834nnumber of trials30
13803730835pprobability of success31
13803730836knumber of successes32
13803730837Binomial Formula for P(X=k)(n choose k) p^k (1-p)^(n-k)33
13803730838Binomial Calculator Function to find P(X=k)binompdf(n,p,k)34
13803730839Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≤k)binomcdf(n,p,k)35
13803730840Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-binomcdf(n,p,k-1)36
13803730841mean of a binomial distributionnp37
13803730842standard deviation of a binomial distribution√(np(1-p))38
13803730843Geometric Formula for P(X=k)(1-p)^(k-1) x p39
13803730844Geometric Calculator Function to find P(X=k)geometpdf(p,k)40
13803730845Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≤k)geometcdf(p,k)41
13803730846Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-geometcdf(p,k-1)42
13803730847Mean of a geometric distribution1/p=expected number of trials until success43
13803730848Standard deviation of a geometric distribution√((1-p)/(p²))44
13803730849What do you do if the binomial probability is for a range, rather than a specific number?Take binomcdf(n,p,maximum) - binomcdf(n,p,minimum-1)45
13803730850how do you enter n choose k into the calculator?type "n" on home screen, go to MATH --> PRB --> 3: ncr, type "k"46
13803730851μ(x+y)μx+μy47
13803730852μ(x-y)μx-μy48
13803730853σ(x+y)√(σ²x+σ²y)49
13803730854What does adding or subtracting a constant effect?Measures of center (median and mean). Does NOT affect measures of spread (IQR and Standard Deviation) or shape.50
13803730855What does multiplying or dividing a constant effect?Both measures of center (median and mean) and measures of spread (IQR and standard deviation). Shape is not effected. For variance, multiply by a² (if y=ax+b).51
13803730856σ(x-y)√(σ²x+σ²y) --> you add to get the difference because variance is distance from mean and you cannot have a negative distance52
13803730857calculate μx by handX1P1+X2P2+.... XKPK (SigmaXKPK)53
13803730858calculate var(x) by hand(X1-μx)²p(1)+(X2-μx)²p(2)+.... (Sigma(Xk-μx)²p(k))54
13803730859Standard deviationsquare root of variance55
13803730860discrete random variablesa fixed set of possible x values (whole numbers)56
13803730861continuous random variables-x takes all values in an interval of numbers -can be represented by a density curve (area of 1, on or above the horizontal axis)57
13803730862What is the variance of the sum of 2 random variables X and Y?(σx)²+(σy)², but ONLY if x and y are independent.58
13803730863mutually exclusiveno outcomes in common59
13803730864addition rule for mutually exclusive events P (A U B)P(A)+P(B)60
13803730865complement rule P(A^C)1-P(A)61
13803730866general addition rule (not mutually exclusive) P(A U B)P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)62
13803730867intersection P(A n B)both A and B will occur63
13803730868conditional probability P (A | B)P(A n B) / P(B)64
13803730869independent events (how to check independence)P(A) = P(A|B) P(B)= P(B|A)65
13803730870multiplication rule for independent events P(A n B)P(A) x P(B)66
13803730871general multiplication rule (non-independent events) P(A n B)P(A) x P(B|A)67
13803730872sample spacea list of possible outcomes68
13803730873probability modela description of some chance process that consists of 2 parts: a sample space S and a probability for each outcome69
13803730874eventany collection of outcomes from some chance process, designated by a capital letter (an event is a subset of the sample space)70
13803730875What is the P(A) if all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely?P(A) = (number of outcomes corresponding to event A)/(total number of outcomes in sample space)71
13803730876Complementprobability that an event does not occur72
13803730877What is the sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes?173
13803730878What is the probability of two mutually exclusive events?P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)74
13803730879five basic probability rules1. for event A, 0≤P(A)≤1 2. P(S)=1 3. If all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely, P(A)=number of outcomes corresponding to event A / total number of outcomes in sample space 4. P(A^C) = 1-P(A) 5. If A and B are mutually exclusive, P(A n B)=P(A)+P(B)75
13803730880When is a two-way table helpfuldisplays the sample space for probabilities involving two events more clearly76
13803730881In statistics, what is meant by the word "or"?could have either event or both77
13803730882When can a Venn Diagram be helpful?visually represents the probabilities of not mutually exclusive events78
13803730883What is the general addition rule for two events?If A and B are any two events resulting from some chance process, then the probability of A or B (or both) is P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)79
13803730884What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur80
13803730885What does the union of two or more events mean?either event A or event B (or both) occurs81
13803730886What is the law of large numbers?If we observe more and more repetitions of any chance process, the proportion of times that a specific outcome occurs approaches a single value, which we can call the probability of that outcome82
13803730887the probability of any outcome...is a number between 0 and 1 that describes the proportion of times the outcome would occur in a very long series of repetitions83
13803730888How do you interpret a probability?We interpret probability to represent the most accurate results if we did an infinite amount of trials84
13803730889What are the two myths about randomness?1. Short-run regularity --> the idea that probability is predictable in the short run 2. Law of Averages --> people except the alternative outcome to follow a different outcome85
13803730890simulationthe imitation of chance behavior, based on a model that accurately reflects the situation86
13803730891Name and describe the four steps in performing a simulation1. State: What is the question of interest about some chance process 2. Plan: Describe how to use a chance device to imitate one repetition of process; clearly identify outcomes and measured variables 3. Do: Perform many repetitions of the simulation 4. Conclude: results to answer question of interest87
13803730892What are some common errors when using a table of random digits?not providing a clear description of the simulation process for the reader to replicate the simulation88
13803730893What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur89
13803730894sampleThe part of the population from which we actually collect information. We use information from a sample to draw conclusions about the entire population90
13803730895populationIn a statistical study, this is the entire group of individuals about which we want information91
13803730896sample surveyA study that uses an organized plan to choose a sample that represents some specific population. We base conclusions about the population on data from the sample.92
13803730897convenience sampleA sample selected by taking the members of the population that are easiest to reach; particularly prone to large bias.93
13803730898biasThe design of a statistical study shows ______ if it systematically favors certain outcomes.94
13803730899voluntary response samplePeople decide whether to join a sample based on an open invitation; particularly prone to large bias.95
13803730900random samplingThe use of chance to select a sample; is the central principle of statistical sampling.96
13803730901simple random sample (SRS)every set of n individuals has an equal chance to be the sample actually selected97
13803730902strataGroups of individuals in a population that are similar in some way that might affect their responses.98
13803730903stratified random sampleTo select this type of sample, first classify the population into groups of similar individuals, called strata. Then choose a separate SRS from each stratum to form the full sample.99
13803730904cluster sampleTo take this type of sample, first divide the population into smaller groups. Ideally, these groups should mirror the characteristics of the population. Then choose an SRS of the groups. All individuals in the chosen groups are included in the sample.100
13803730905inferenceDrawing conclusions that go beyond the data at hand.101
13803730906margin of errorTells how close the estimate tends to be to the unknown parameter in repeated random sampling.102
13803730907sampling frameThe list from which a sample is actually chosen.103
13803730908undercoverageOccurs when some members of the population are left out of the sampling frame; a type of sampling error.104
13803730909nonresponseOccurs when a selected individual cannot be contacted or refuses to cooperate; an example of a nonsampling error.105
13803730910wording of questionsThe most important influence on the answers given to a survey. Confusing or leading questions can introduce strong bias, and changes in wording can greatly change a survey's outcome. Even the order in which questions are asked matters.106
13803730911observational studyObserves individuals and measures variables of interest but does not attempt to influence the responses.107
13803730912experimentDeliberately imposes some treatment on individuals to measure their responses.108
13803730913explanatory variableA variable that helps explain or influences changes in a response variable.109
13803730914response variableA variable that measures an outcome of a study.110
13803730915lurking variablea variable that is not among the explanatory or response variables in a study but that may influence the response variable.111
13803730916treatmentA specific condition applied to the individuals in an experiment. If an experiment has several explanatory variables, a treatment is a combination of specific values of these variables.112
13803730917experimental unitthe smallest collection of individuals to which treatments are applied.113
13803730918subjectsExperimental units that are human beings.114
13803730919factorsthe explanatory variables in an experiment are often called this115
13803730920random assignmentAn important experimental design principle. Use some chance process to assign experimental units to treatments. This helps create roughly equivalent groups of experimental units by balancing the effects of lurking variables that aren't controlled on the treatment groups.116
13803730921replicationAn important experimental design principle. Use enough experimental units in each group so that any differences in the effects of the treatments can be distinguished from chance differences between the groups.117
13803730922double-blindAn experiment in which neither the subjects nor those who interact with them and measure the response variable know which treatment a subject received.118
13803730923single-blindAn experiment in which either the subjects or those who interact with them and measure the response variable, but not both, know which treatment a subject received.119
13803730924placeboan inactive (fake) treatment120
13803730925placebo effectDescribes the fact that some subjects respond favorably to any treatment, even an inactive one121
13803730926blockA group of experimental units that are known before the experiment to be similar in some way that is expected to affect the response to the treatments.122
13803730927inference about the populationUsing information from a sample to draw conclusions about the larger population. Requires that the individuals taking part in a study be randomly selected from the population of interest.123
13803730928inference about cause and effectUsing the results of an experiment to conclude that the treatments caused the difference in responses. Requires a well-designed experiment in which the treatments are randomly assigned to the experimental units.124
13803730929lack of realismWhen the treatments, the subjects, or the environment of an experiment are not realistic. Lack of realism can limit researchers' ability to apply the conclusions of an experiment to the settings of greatest interest.125
13803730930institutional review boardA basic principle of data ethics. All planned studies must be approved in advance and monitored by _____________ charged with protecting the safety and well-being of the participants.126
13803730931informed consentA basic principle of data ethics. Individuals must be informed in advance about the nature of a study and any risk of harm it may bring. Participating individuals must then consent in writing.127
13803730932simulationa model of random events128
13803730933censusa sample that includes the entire population129
13803730934population parametera number that measures a characteristic of a population130
13803730935systematic sampleevery fifth individual, for example, is chosen131
13803730936multistage samplea sampling design where several sampling methods are combined132
13803730937sampling variabilitythe naturally occurring variability found in samples133
13803730938levelsthe values that the experimenter used for a factor134
13803730939the four principles of experimental designcontrol, randomization, replication, and blocking135
13803730940completely randomized designa design where all experimental units have an equal chance of receiving any treatment136
13803730941interpreting p valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).137
13803730942p̂1-p̂2 center, shape, and spreadcenter: p1-p2 shape: n1p1, n1(1-p1), n2p2, and n2(1-p2) ≥ 10 spread (if 10% condition checks): √((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2)138
13803730943probability of getting a certain p̂1-p̂2 (ex. less than .1)plug in center and spread into bell curve, find probability139
13803730944Confidence intervals for difference in proportions formula(p̂1-p̂2) plus or minus z*(√((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2))140
13803730945When do you use t and z test/intervals?t for mean z for proportions141
13803730996Significance test for difference in proportions142
13803730946What is a null hypothesis?What is being claimed. Statistical test designed to assess strength of evidence against null hypothesis. Abbreviated by Ho.143
13803730947What is an alternative hypothesis?the claim about the population that we are trying to find evidence FOR, abbreviated by Ha144
13803730948When is the alternative hypothesis one-sided?Ha less than or greater than145
13803730949When is the alternative hypothesis two-sided?Ha is not equal to146
13803730950What is a significance level?fixed value that we compare with the P-value, matter of judgement to determine if something is "statistically significant".147
13803730951What is the default significance level?α=.05148
13803730952Interpreting the p-valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).149
13803730953p value ≤ αWe reject our null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence to say that (Ha) is true.150
13803730954p value ≥ αWe fail to reject our null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence to say that (Ho) is not true.151
13803730955reject Ho when it is actually trueType I Error152
13803730956fail to reject Ho when it is actually falseType II Error153
13803730957Power definitionprobability of rejecting Ho when it is false154
13803730958probability of Type I Errorα155
13803730959probability of Type II Error1-power156
13803730960two ways to increase powerincrease sample size/significance level α157
138037309615 step process: z/t testState --> Ho/Ha, define parameter Plan --> one sample, z test Check --> random/normal/independent Do --> find p hat, find test statistic (z), use test statistic to find p-value Conclude --> p value ≤ α reject Ho p value ≥ α fail to reject Ho158
13803730997Formula for test statistic (μ)159
13803730962Formula for test statistic (p̂) (where p represents the null)(p̂-p)/(√((p)(1-p))/n)160
13803730963probability of a Type II Error?overlap normal distribution for null and true. Find rejection line. Use normalcdf161
13803730964when do you use z tests?for proportions162
13803730965when do you use t tests?for mean (population standard deviation unknown)163
13803730966finding p value for t teststcdf(min, max, df)164
13803730967Sample paired t teststate--> Ho: μ1-μ2=0 (if its difference) plan --> one sample, paired t test check --> random, normal, independent do --> find test statistic and p value conclude --> normal conclusion165
13803730968What does statistically significant mean in context of a problem?The sample mean/proportion is far enough away from the true mean/proportion that it couldn't have happened by chance166
13803730969When doing a paired t-test, to check normality, what do you do?check the differences histogram (μ1-μ2)167
13803730970How to interpret a C% Confidence LevelIn C% of all possible samples of size n, we will construct an interval that captures the true parameter (in context).168
13803730971How to interpret a C% Confidence IntervalWe are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).169
13803730972What conditions must be checked before constructing a confidence interval?random, normal, independent170
13803730973C% confidence intervals of sample proportions, 5 step processState: Construct a C% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample z-interval for proportions Check: Random, Normal, Independent Do: Find the standard error and z*, then p hat +/- z* Conclude: We are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).171
13803730998What's the z interval standard error formula?172
13803730974How do you find z*?InvNorm(#)173
13803730975How do you find the point estimate of a sample?subtract the max and min confidence interval, divide it by two (aka find the mean of the interval ends)174
13803730976How do you find the margin of error, given the confidence interval?Ask, "What am I adding or subtracting from the point estimate?" So find the point estimate, then find the difference between the point estimate and the interval ends175
13803730977Finding sample size proportions: When p hat is unknown, or you want to guarantee a margin of error less than or equal to:use p hat=.5176
13803730978Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *known*x bar +/- z*(σ/√n)177
13803730979Checking normal condition for z* (population standard deviation known)starts normal or CLT178
13803730980Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *unknown* (which is almost always true)x bar +/- t*(Sx/√n)179
13803730981degrees of freedomn-1180
13803730982How do you find t*?InvT(area to the left, df)181
13803730983What is the standard error?same as standard deviation, but we call it "standard error" because we plugged in p hat for p (we are estimating)182
13803730984a point estimator is a statistic that...provides an estimate of a population parameter.183
13803730985Explain the two conditions when the margin of error gets smaller.Confidence level C decreases, sample size n increases184
13803730986Does the confidence level tell us the chance that a particular confidence interval captures the population parameter?NO; the confidence interval gives us a set of plausible values for the parameter185
13803730987Sx and σx: which is which?Sx is for a sample, σx is for a population186
13803730988How do we know when do use a t* interval instead of a z interval?you are not given the population standard deviation187
13803730989Checking normal condition for t* (population standard deviation unknown)Normal for sample size... -n -n<15: if the data appears closely normal (roughly symmetric, single peak, no outliers)188
13803730990How to check if a distribution is normal for t*, population n<15plug data into List 1, look at histogram. Conclude with "The histogram looks roughly symmetric, so we should be safe to use the t distribution)189
13803730991t* confidence interval, 5 step processState: Construct a __% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample t interval for a population mean Check: Random, Normal, Independent (for Normal, look at sample size and go from there) Do: Find the standard error (Sx/√n) and t*, then do x bar +/- t*(standard error) Conclude: We are __% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).190
13803730992margin of error formulaz* or t* (standard error)191
13803730993When calculating t interval, what is it and where do you find the data?x bar plus or minus t* (Sx/√n) -get x bar and Sx using 1 Var Stats -t*=Invt(area to the left, df) -population (n) will be given192
13803730994What is it looking for if it asks for the appropriate critical value?z/t* interval193

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