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13972861427How do you check if there is outliers?calculate IQR; anything above Q3+1.5(IQR) or below Q1-1.5(IQR) is an outlier0
13972861428If a graph is skewed, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?median; it is resistant to skews and outliers1
13972861429If a graph is roughly symmetrical, should we calculate the median or the mean? Why?mean; generally is more accurate if the data has no outliers2
13972861430What is in the five number summary?Minimum, Q1, Median, Q3, Maximum3
13972861431Relationship between variance and standard deviation?variance=(standard deviation)^24
13972861432variance definitionthe variance is roughly the average of the squared differences between each observation and the mean5
13972861433standard deviationthe standard deviation is the square root of the variance6
13972861434What should we use to measure spread if the median was calculated?IQR7
13972861435What should we use to measure spread if the mean was calculated?standard deviation8
13972861436What is the IQR? How much of the data does it represent?Q3-Q1; 50%9
13972861437How do you calculate standard deviation?1. Type data into L1 2. Find mean with 1 Variable Stats 3. Turn L2 into (L1-mean) 4. Turn L3 into (L2)^2 5. Go to 2nd STAT over to MATH, select sum( 6. Type in L3 7. multiply it by (1/n-1) 8. Square root it10
13972861617What is the formula for standard deviation?11
13972861438Categorical variables vs. Quantitative VariablesCategorical: individuals can be assigned to one of several groups or categories Quantitative: takes numberical values12
13972861439If a possible outlier is on the fence, is it an outlier?No13
13972861440Things to include when describing a distributionCenter (Mean or Median), Unusual Gaps or Outliers, Spread (Standard Deviation or IQR), Shape (Roughly Symmetric, slightly/heavily skewed left or right, bimodal, range)14
13972861441Explain how to standardize a variable. What is the purpose of standardizing a variable?Subtract the distribution mean and then divide by standard deviation. Tells us how many standard deviations from the mean an observation falls, and in what direction.15
13972861442What effect does standardizing the values have on the distribution?shape would be the same as the original distribution, the mean would become 0, the standard deviation would become 116
13972861443What is a density curve?a curve that (a) is on or above the horizontal axis, and (b) has exactly an area of 117
13972861444Inverse Normwhen you want to find the percentile: invNorm (area, mean, standard deviation)18
13972861445z(x-mean)/standard deviation19
13972861446pth percentilethe value with p percent observations less than is20
13972861447cumulative relative frequency graphcan be used to describe the position of an individual within a distribution or to locate a specified percentile of the distribution21
13972861448How to find and interpret the correlation coefficient r for a scatterplotSTAT plot, scatter, L1 and L2 (Plot 1: ON); STAT --> CALC --> 8:LinReg(a+bx) No r? --> 2nd 0 (Catalog) down to Diagnostic ON22
13972861449rtells us the strength of a LINEAR association. -1 to 1. Not resistant to outliers23
13972861450r^2the proportion (percent) of the variation in the values of y that can be accounted for by the least squares regression line24
13972861451residual plota scatterplot of the residuals against the explanatory variable. Residual plots help us assess how well a regression line fits the data. It should have NO PATTERN25
13972861452regression linea line that describes how a response variable y changes as an explanatory variable x changes. We often use a regression line to predict the value of y for a given value of x.26
13972861453residual formularesidual=y-y(hat) aka observed y - predicted y27
13972861454What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is binomial?BINS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another? 3. Number: There is a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial28
13972861455What method do you use to check if a distribution or probability is geometric?BITS: 1. Binary: There only two outcomes (success and failure) 2. Independent: The events independent of one another 3. Trials: There is not a fixed number of trials 4. Success: The probability of success equal in each trial29
13972861456nnumber of trials30
13972861457pprobability of success31
13972861458knumber of successes32
13972861459Binomial Formula33
13972861460Binomial Calculator Function to find P(X=k)binompdf(n,p,k)34
13972861461Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≤k)binomcdf(n,p,k)35
13972861462Binomial Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-binomcdf(n,p,k-1)36
13972861463mean of a binomial distributionnp37
13972861464standard deviation of a binomial distribution√(np(1-p))38
13972861465Geometric Formula for P(X=k)(1-p)^(k-1) x p39
13972861466Geometric Calculator Function to find P(X=k)geometpdf(p,k)40
13972861467Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≤k)geometcdf(p,k)41
13972861468Geometric Calculator Function for P(X≥k)1-geometcdf(p,k-1)42
13972861469Mean of a geometric distribution1/p=expected number of trials until success43
13972861470Standard deviation of a geometric distribution44
13972861471What do you do if the binomial probability is for a range, rather than a specific number?Take binomcdf(n,p,maximum) - binomcdf(n,p,minimum-1)45
13972861472how do you enter n choose k into the calculator?type "n" on home screen, go to MATH --> PRB --> 3: ncr, type "k"46
13972861473μ(x+y)μx+μy47
13972861474μ(x-y)μx-μy48
13972861475σ(x+y)√(σ²x+σ²y)49
13972861476What does adding or subtracting a constant effect?Measures of center (median and mean). Does NOT affect measures of spread (IQR and Standard Deviation) or shape.50
13972861477What does multiplying or dividing a constant effect?Both measures of center (median and mean) and measures of spread (IQR and standard deviation). Shape is not effected. For variance, multiply by a² (if y=ax+b).51
13972861478σ(x-y)√(σ²x+σ²y) --> you add to get the difference because variance is distance from mean and you cannot have a negative distance52
13972861479calculate μx by handX1P1+X2P2+.... XKPK (SigmaXKPK)53
13972861480calculate var(x) by hand(X1-μx)²p(1)+(X2-μx)²p(2)+.... (Sigma(Xk-μx)²p(k))54
13972861481Standard deviationsquare root of variance55
13972861482discrete random variablesa fixed set of possible x values (whole numbers)56
13972861483continuous random variables-x takes all values in an interval of numbers -can be represented by a density curve (area of 1, on or above the horizontal axis)57
13972861484What is the variance of the sum of 2 random variables X and Y?(σx)²+(σy)², but ONLY if x and y are independent.58
13972861485mutually exclusiveno outcomes in common59
13972861486addition rule for mutually exclusive events P (A U B)P(A)+P(B)60
13972861487complement rule P(A^C)1-P(A)61
13972861488general addition rule (not mutually exclusive) P(A U B)P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)62
13972861489intersection P(A n B)both A and B will occur63
13972861490conditional probability P (A | B)P(A n B) / P(B)64
13972861491independent events (how to check independence)P(A) = P(A|B) P(B)= P(B|A)65
13972861492multiplication rule for independent events P(A n B)P(A) x P(B)66
13972861493general multiplication rule (non-independent events) P(A n B)P(A) x P(B|A)67
13972861494sample spacea list of possible outcomes68
13972861495probability modela description of some chance process that consists of 2 parts: a sample space S and a probability for each outcome69
13972861496eventany collection of outcomes from some chance process, designated by a capital letter (an event is a subset of the sample space)70
13972861497What is the P(A) if all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely?P(A) = (number of outcomes corresponding to event A)/(total number of outcomes in sample space)71
13972861498Complementprobability that an event does not occur72
13972861499What is the sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes?173
13972861500What is the probability of two mutually exclusive events?P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)74
13972861501five basic probability rules1. for event A, 0≤P(A)≤1 2. P(S)=1 3. If all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely, P(A)=number of outcomes corresponding to event A / total number of outcomes in sample space 4. P(A^C) = 1-P(A) 5. If A and B are mutually exclusive, P(A n B)=P(A)+P(B)75
13972861502When is a two-way table helpfuldisplays the sample space for probabilities involving two events more clearly76
13972861503In statistics, what is meant by the word "or"?could have either event or both77
13972861504When can a Venn Diagram be helpful?visually represents the probabilities of not mutually exclusive events78
13972861505What is the general addition rule for two events?If A and B are any two events resulting from some chance process, then the probability of A or B (or both) is P(A U B)= P(A)+P(B)-P(A n B)79
13972861506What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur80
13972861507What does the union of two or more events mean?either event A or event B (or both) occurs81
13972861508What is the law of large numbers?If we observe more and more repetitions of any chance process, the proportion of times that a specific outcome occurs approaches a single value, which we can call the probability of that outcome82
13972861509the probability of any outcome...is a number between 0 and 1 that describes the proportion of times the outcome would occur in a very long series of repetitions83
13972861510How do you interpret a probability?We interpret probability to represent the most accurate results if we did an infinite amount of trials84
13972861511What are the two myths about randomness?1. Short-run regularity --> the idea that probability is predictable in the short run 2. Law of Averages --> people except the alternative outcome to follow a different outcome85
13972861512simulationthe imitation of chance behavior, based on a model that accurately reflects the situation86
13972861513Name and describe the four steps in performing a simulation1. State: What is the question of interest about some chance process 2. Plan: Describe how to use a chance device to imitate one repetition of process; clearly identify outcomes and measured variables 3. Do: Perform many repetitions of the simulation 4. Conclude: results to answer question of interest87
13972861514What are some common errors when using a table of random digits?not providing a clear description of the simulation process for the reader to replicate the simulation88
13972861515What does the intersection of two or more events mean?both event A and event B occur89
13972861516sampleThe part of the population from which we actually collect information. We use information from a sample to draw conclusions about the entire population90
13972861517populationIn a statistical study, this is the entire group of individuals about which we want information91
13972861518sample surveyA study that uses an organized plan to choose a sample that represents some specific population. We base conclusions about the population on data from the sample.92
13972861519convenience sampleA sample selected by taking the members of the population that are easiest to reach; particularly prone to large bias.93
13972861520biasThe design of a statistical study shows ______ if it systematically favors certain outcomes.94
13972861521voluntary response samplePeople decide whether to join a sample based on an open invitation; particularly prone to large bias.95
13972861522random samplingThe use of chance to select a sample; is the central principle of statistical sampling.96
13972861523simple random sample (SRS)every set of n individuals has an equal chance to be the sample actually selected97
13972861524strataGroups of individuals in a population that are similar in some way that might affect their responses.98
13972861525stratified random sampleTo select this type of sample, first classify the population into groups of similar individuals, called strata. Then choose a separate SRS from each stratum to form the full sample.99
13972861526cluster sampleTo take this type of sample, first divide the population into smaller groups. Ideally, these groups should mirror the characteristics of the population. Then choose an SRS of the groups. All individuals in the chosen groups are included in the sample.100
13972861527inferenceDrawing conclusions that go beyond the data at hand.101
13972861528margin of errorTells how close the estimate tends to be to the unknown parameter in repeated random sampling.102
13972861529sampling frameThe list from which a sample is actually chosen.103
13972861530undercoverageOccurs when some members of the population are left out of the sampling frame; a type of sampling error.104
13972861531nonresponseOccurs when a selected individual cannot be contacted or refuses to cooperate; an example of a nonsampling error.105
13972861532wording of questionsThe most important influence on the answers given to a survey. Confusing or leading questions can introduce strong bias, and changes in wording can greatly change a survey's outcome. Even the order in which questions are asked matters.106
13972861533observational studyObserves individuals and measures variables of interest but does not attempt to influence the responses.107
13972861534experimentDeliberately imposes some treatment on individuals to measure their responses.108
13972861535explanatory variableA variable that helps explain or influences changes in a response variable.109
13972861536response variableA variable that measures an outcome of a study.110
13972861537lurking variablea variable that is not among the explanatory or response variables in a study but that may influence the response variable.111
13972861538treatmentA specific condition applied to the individuals in an experiment. If an experiment has several explanatory variables, a treatment is a combination of specific values of these variables.112
13972861539experimental unitthe smallest collection of individuals to which treatments are applied.113
13972861540subjectsExperimental units that are human beings.114
13972861541factorsthe explanatory variables in an experiment are often called this115
13972861542random assignmentAn important experimental design principle. Use some chance process to assign experimental units to treatments. This helps create roughly equivalent groups of experimental units by balancing the effects of lurking variables that aren't controlled on the treatment groups.116
13972861543replicationAn important experimental design principle. Use enough experimental units in each group so that any differences in the effects of the treatments can be distinguished from chance differences between the groups.117
13972861544double-blindAn experiment in which neither the subjects nor those who interact with them and measure the response variable know which treatment a subject received.118
13972861545single-blindAn experiment in which either the subjects or those who interact with them and measure the response variable, but not both, know which treatment a subject received.119
13972861546placeboan inactive (fake) treatment120
13972861547placebo effectDescribes the fact that some subjects respond favorably to any treatment, even an inactive one121
13972861548blockA group of experimental units that are known before the experiment to be similar in some way that is expected to affect the response to the treatments.122
13972861549inference about the populationUsing information from a sample to draw conclusions about the larger population. Requires that the individuals taking part in a study be randomly selected from the population of interest.123
13972861550inference about cause and effectUsing the results of an experiment to conclude that the treatments caused the difference in responses. Requires a well-designed experiment in which the treatments are randomly assigned to the experimental units.124
13972861551lack of realismWhen the treatments, the subjects, or the environment of an experiment are not realistic. Lack of realism can limit researchers' ability to apply the conclusions of an experiment to the settings of greatest interest.125
13972861552institutional review boardA basic principle of data ethics. All planned studies must be approved in advance and monitored by _____________ charged with protecting the safety and well-being of the participants.126
13972861553informed consentA basic principle of data ethics. Individuals must be informed in advance about the nature of a study and any risk of harm it may bring. Participating individuals must then consent in writing.127
13972861554simulationa model of random events128
13972861555censusa sample that includes the entire population129
13972861556population parametera number that measures a characteristic of a population130
13972861557systematic sampleevery fifth individual, for example, is chosen131
13972861558multistage samplea sampling design where several sampling methods are combined132
13972861559sampling variabilitythe naturally occurring variability found in samples133
13972861560levelsthe values that the experimenter used for a factor134
13972861561the four principles of experimental designcontrol, randomization, replication, and blocking135
13972861562completely randomized designa design where all experimental units have an equal chance of receiving any treatment136
13972861563interpreting p valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).137
13972861564p̂1-p̂2 center, shape, and spreadcenter: p1-p2 shape: n1p1, n1(1-p1), n2p2, and n2(1-p2) ≥ 10 spread (if 10% condition checks): √((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2)138
13972861565probability of getting a certain p̂1-p̂2 (ex. less than .1)plug in center and spread into bell curve, find probability139
13972861566Confidence intervals for difference in proportions formula(p̂1-p̂2) plus or minus z*(√((p1(1-p1)/n1)+(p2(1-p2)/n2))140
13972861567When do you use t and z test/intervals?t for mean z for proportions141
13972861572What is a significance level?fixed value that we compare with the P-value, matter of judgement to determine if something is "statistically significant".142
13972861573What is the default significance level?α=.05143
13972861574Interpreting the p-valueif the true mean/proportion of the population is (null), the probability of getting a sample mean/proportion of _____ is (p-value).144
13972861575p value ≤ αWe reject our null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence to say that (Ha) is true.145
13972861576p value ≥ αWe fail to reject our null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence to say that (Ho) is not true.146
13972861577reject Ho when it is actually trueType I Error147
13972861578fail to reject Ho when it is actually falseType II Error148
13972861579Power definition1 - β149
13972861580probability of Type I Errorα150
13972861581probability of Type II Error1-power151
13972861582two ways to increase powerincrease sample size/significance level α152
139728615835 step process: z/t testState --> Ho/Ha, define parameter Plan --> one sample, z test Check --> random/normal/independent Do --> find p hat, find test statistic (z), use test statistic to find p-value Conclude --> p value ≤ α reject Ho p value ≥ α fail to reject Ho153
13972861619Formula for test statistic (μ)154
13972861584Formula for test statistic (p̂) (where p represents the null)(p̂-p)/(√((p)(1-p))/n)155
13972861585probability of a Type II Error?overlap normal distribution for null and true. Find rejection line. Use normalcdf156
13972861586when do you use z tests?for proportions157
13972861587when do you use t tests?for mean (population standard deviation unknown)158
13972861588finding p value for t teststcdf(min, max, df)159
13972861589Sample paired t teststate--> Ho: μ1-μ2=0 (if its difference) plan --> one sample, paired t test check --> random, normal, independent do --> find test statistic and p value conclude --> normal conclusion160
13972861590What does statistically significant mean in context of a problem?The sample mean/proportion is far enough away from the true mean/proportion that it couldn't have happened by chance161
13972861591When doing a paired t-test, to check normality, what do you do?check the differences histogram (μ1-μ2)162
13972861592How to interpret a C% Confidence LevelIn C% of all possible samples of size n, we will construct an interval that captures the true parameter (in context).163
13972861593How to interpret a C% Confidence IntervalWe are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).164
13972861594What conditions must be checked before constructing a confidence interval?random, normal, independent165
13972861595C% confidence intervals of sample proportions, 5 step processState: Construct a C% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample z-interval for proportions Check: Random, Normal, Independent Do: Find the standard error and z*, then p hat +/- z* Conclude: We are C% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).166
13972861620What's the z interval standard error formula?167
13972861596How do you find z*?InvNorm(#)168
13972861597How do you find the point estimate of a sample?subtract the max and min confidence interval, divide it by two (aka find the mean of the interval ends)169
13972861598How do you find the margin of error, given the confidence interval?Ask, "What am I adding or subtracting from the point estimate?" So find the point estimate, then find the difference between the point estimate and the interval ends170
13972861599Finding sample size proportions: When p hat is unknown, or you want to guarantee a margin of error less than or equal to:use p hat=.5171
13972861600Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *known*x bar +/- z*(σ/√n)172
13972861601Checking normal condition for z* (population standard deviation known)starts normal or CLT173
13972861602Finding the confidence interval when the standard deviation of the population is *unknown* (which is almost always true)x bar +/- t*(Sx/√n)174
13972861603degrees of freedomn-1175
13972861604How do you find t*?InvT(area to the left, df)176
13972861605What is the standard error?same as standard deviation, but we call it "standard error" because we plugged in p hat for p (we are estimating)177
13972861606a point estimator is a statistic that...provides an estimate of a population parameter.178
13972861607Explain the two conditions when the margin of error gets smaller.Confidence level C decreases, sample size n increases179
13972861608Does the confidence level tell us the chance that a particular confidence interval captures the population parameter?NO; the confidence interval gives us a set of plausible values for the parameter180
13972861609Sx and σx: which is which?Sx is for a sample, σx is for a population181
13972861610How do we know when do use a t* interval instead of a z interval?you are not given the population standard deviation182
13972861611Checking normal condition for t* (population standard deviation unknown)Normal for sample size... -n -n<15: if the data appears closely normal (roughly symmetric, single peak, no outliers)183
13972861612How to check if a distribution is normal for t*, population n<15plug data into List 1, look at histogram. Conclude with "The histogram looks roughly symmetric, so we should be safe to use the t distribution)184
13972861613t* confidence interval, 5 step processState: Construct a __% confidence interval to estimate... Plan: one sample t interval for a population mean Check: Random, Normal, Independent (for Normal, look at sample size and go from there) Do: Find the standard error (Sx/√n) and t*, then do x bar +/- t*(standard error) Conclude: We are __% confident that the interval (_,_) will capture the true parameter (in context).185
13972861614margin of error formulaz* or t* (standard error)186
13972861615When calculating t interval, what is it and where do you find the data?x bar plus or minus t* (Sx/√n) -get x bar and Sx using 1 Var Stats -t*=Invt(area to the left, df) -population (n) will be given187
13972861616What is it looking for if it asks for the appropriate critical value?z/t*188

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