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Stat 212 - Ch. 12, Discrete Probability Distributions Flashcards

- The binomial setting and binomial distributions
- Binomial distributions in statistical sampling
- Binomial probabilities
- Using technology
- Binomial mean and standard deviation
- The Normal approximation to binomial distributions
- The Poisson distributions
- Using technology

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1711941000The distribution of a count depends onhow the data are produced.0
1711941001The Binomial Setting1. There are a fixed number n of observations. 2. The n observations are all independent. That is, knowing the result of one observation does not change the probabilities we assign to other observations. 3. Each observation falls into one of just two categories, which for convenience are called "success" and "failure". 4. The probability of a success, p, is the same for each observation.1
1711941002Binomial DistributionThe count X of successes in the binomial setting has the binomial distribution with parameters n and p. The parameter n is the number of observations and p is the probability of a success on any one observation. The possible values of X are the whole numbers ranging from 0 to n.2
1711941003Not all counts have binomial distributions.Pay attention to the binomial setting.3
1711941004Sampling Distribution of a CountChoose an SRS of size n from a population with proportion p of successes. When the population is much larger than the sample, the count X of successes in the sample has approximately the binomial distribution with parameters n and p.4
1711941018Binomial CoefficientThe number of ways of arranging k successes in n observations, with constant probability p of success, in an unordered sequence.5
1711941005Factorial NotationFor a given number n, its factoria n! is n! = n ⋅ (n-1) ⋅ (n-2) ... 3 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 1 And 0! = 16
1711941019Binomial ProbabilityIf X has the binomial distribution with n observations and probability p of success on each observation, the possible values of X are 0, ,1, 2, ... n. If k is any one of these values, [image].7
1711941006Binomial Mean and Standard DeviationThe center and spread of the binomial distribution for a count X are defined by mean µ and standard dev. σ: µ = np σ = √np(1-p)8
1711941007Normal Approximation for Binomial DistributionsIf n is large and p is not too close to 0 or 1, the binomial distribution can be approximated by a Normal distribution. B(µ=np, σ=√np(1-p)) ~ N(µ=np, σ=√np(1-p)) It can generally be used when np ≥ 10 and n(1-p) ≥ 10. This approx. can be improved w/ continuity correction.9
1711941008Continuity CorrectionContinuity correction can produce a more accurate Normal approximation. Counts can only take integer values, but the Normal distribution can take any real values, so the proper continuous equivalent to a count is the interval around it with size 1. This is especially helpful when the sample size is small.10
1711941009Poisson DistributionA Poisson distribution describes the count X of occurrences of a defined even in fixed, finite intervals of time or space when 1. occurrences are all independent, and 2. the probability of an occurrence is the same over all possible intervals.11
1711941020Poisson ProbabilityIf X has the Poisson distribution with mean number of occurrences per interval µ, the possible values of X are 0, 1, 2... if k is any one of these values, [image] The mean and variance of the Poisson distribution are both equal to µ, the mean number of occurrences per interval. The distribution's standard deviation σ is equal to √µ12
1711941010Because the mean and variance of a Poisson distribution are equal, when the mean number of occurrences is large, the variance is also large, and the distribution looks very flat and wide.Therefore, Poisson distributions are typically used to describe rare, random phenomena.13
1711941011Remember that RL data is not perfect.Rather, people use mathematical models to represent biological features.14
1711941012Reminder: there are two types of dataQuantitative: observations that can be counted or measured across individuals in a population Categorical: observations that fall into one of several categories15
1711941013The way to set up statistical problemsAsk: - what are the n individuals/units in the sample (of size "n"?) - what is being recorded about those n individuals/ units? - is that a number (quantitative) or a statement (categorical)?16
1711941014Binomial Distributions are models for ___?Some categorical variables, typically representing the number of successes in a series of n independent trials.17
1711941015Observations must meet these requirements- the total number of obs.s n is fixed in advance - each obs. falls into just 1 of 2 categories: success or failure - the outcomes of all n obs.s are statistically independent - all n obs.s have the same probability of "success", p.18
1711941016Binomial distributions describe ___? And are used when ___?The possible number of times that a particular event will occur in a sequence of observations. They are used when we want to know the probability of the number of times an occurrence takes place.19
1711941017Parameters of a binomial distribution for X successes in n observationsB(n,p) n is the number of observations. p is the probability of success on each observation. X is the count of successes, and can be any whole number between 0 and n.20

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