Anecdotal evidence

Psychology Textbook Notes- Ch. 1 The Need for Psychological Science: The Limits of Intuition and Common Sense Hindsight Bias-THE TENDENCY TO BELIEVE AFTER LEARNING A N OUTCOME that foreseen ?I knew it all along phenomenon). Unanticipated scientific results indeed ?seem? like obvious common sense or justify it to that! Common sense describes what has happened more easily than it predicts what will happen. Intuition can be wrong & common sense! Overconfidence: Thinking limited by ?after-the-fact? common sense hindsight bias. We could of done that DUH attitude example anagram scrambling after seeing the solution. 98% college students confident they won?t drop out ? yet half do OVERCONFIDENT! More confident than correct!