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Hindsight

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Chapter 1 Describe the hindsight bias and explain how it often leads us to perceive psychological research as merely common sense. Compare and contrast case studies, surveys, and naturalistic observation, and explain the importance of proper sampling. Explain why correlational research fails to provide evidence of cause-effect relationships. Identify the basic elements of an experiment, and discuss how experimental control contributes to causal explanation. Describe the three measures of central tendency and the two measures of variation. Explain why psychologists study animals, and discuss the ethics of experimentation with both animals and humans.

AP Psychology - Unit 2 (Research Methods) Outline

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Research Methods: Thinking Critically With Psychological Science The Need for Psychological Science Much of contemporary psychological science documents a vast intuitive mind. Intuition is important, but we often underestimate its perils. Two phenomena?hindsight bias and judgmental overconfidence?illustrate why we cannot rely solely on intuition and common sense. Did We Know It All Along? Hindsight Bias The term ?hindsight bias? refers to the tendency to believe, after learning and outcome, that one would have foreseen it. (Also known as the I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon.) Errors in out recollections and explanations show why we need psychological research. Common sense more easily describes what has happened than what will happen.
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