real vs nominal interest in IS/LM
- IS model: firms want values in terms of goods
- dependent on real interest rate
- Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,r) + G
- LM model: dependent on nominal interest rate
- determines opportunity cost of holding money vs holding bonds
- M/P = Y L(i)
- r ~ i - pe
- nominal interest rate affected directly by monetary policy
- real interest rate affects spending/output
- effects of monetary policy depend on how nominal interest rate translates to real interest rate translates to output
money growth - effects on nominal/real interest rates differ from short to medium run
- higher money growth >> lower nominal interest rates in short run, higher nominal interest rates in medium run
- increase money growth >> i must decrease (function L(i) is negatively correlated to M/P), and r must then decrease
- medium run >> output returns to natural level of output (due to unemployment rate returning to natural rate) >> rate of inflation equal to rate of money growth minus rate of output growth (p = gm-gy)
- by IS relation, at natural output rate, there's a natural real interest rate >> in medium run, go back to natural rate of output and real interest
- Yn = C(Yn-T) + I(Yn,rn) + G
- i = rn + p = rn + (gm-gy) >> nominal interest still increases in medium run since higher money growth = increasing gm
- higher money growth >> lower real interest rates in short run, no effect on real interest rates in medium run (neutrality of money)
- return to natural rate of output >> return to natural real interest rate
- i = (gm-gy)
- Fisher hypothesis - in medium run, nominal interest rate increases one for one w/ inflation (assuming permanent nominal money growth)