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Nominal/Real Interest Rates in IS/LM Model

real vs nominal interest in IS/LM  

  • IS model: firms want values in terms of goods
    • dependent on real interest rate
    • Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,r) + G
  • LM model: dependent on nominal interest rate
    • determines opportunity cost of holding money vs holding bonds
    • M/P = Y L(i)
  • r ~ i - pe
  • nominal interest rate affected directly by monetary policy
  • real interest rate affects spending/output
  • effects of monetary policy depend on how nominal interest rate translates to real interest rate translates to output

money growth - effects on nominal/real interest rates differ from short to medium run  

  • higher money growth >> lower nominal interest rates in short run, higher nominal interest rates in medium run
    • increase money growth >> i must decrease (function L(i) is negatively correlated to M/P), and r must then decrease
    • medium run >> output returns to natural level of output (due to unemployment rate returning to natural rate) >> rate of inflation equal to rate of money growth minus rate of output growth (p = gm-gy)
    • by IS relation, at natural output rate, there's a natural real interest rate >> in medium run, go back to natural rate of output and real interest
    • Yn = C(Yn-T) + I(Yn,rn) + G
    • i = rn + p = rn + (gm-gy) >> nominal interest still increases in medium run since higher money growth = increasing gm
  • higher money growth >> lower real interest rates in short run, no effect on real interest rates in medium run (neutrality of money)
    • return to natural rate of output >> return to natural real interest rate
    • i = (gm-gy)
  • Fisher hypothesis - in medium run, nominal interest rate increases one for one w/ inflation (assuming permanent nominal money growth)
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